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I wish GPT4 had never happened

chaudhry.notion.site

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Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#12
post #2

> GPT4 gave the correct answer in 1/10th the time it would take Priya and cost a lot less. [...] Priya has tried to learn coding, but she has struggled. Not that she gets a lot of time to do it either. 1) Show Priya how to use GPT4 to do her current job in 1/10th of the time. 2) Let her use part (50%+) of the time saved to learn coding or whatever other skill she needs (not sure coding is it).

You see the Catch-22 situation? Author is the manager of Priya.

This means Priya can replace the manager, but manager needs to train Priya for that. Obviously that is not going to happen as Author him/herself is very apprehensive about his/her future earning potential.

This would be the problem in the new world, people with lesser power (of knowledge) would get crushed.

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#13

>Priya has tried to learn coding, but she has struggled. Not that she gets a lot of time to do it either. What about time after work. That is when I learned to code. In between work and going to school in fact.

They address that she works a lot of hours, more than devs at least. But the time and her aptitude seem decoupled. Programming is something only some can learn with any skill, and excellence is even rarer.

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#14
post #8

This is a really pessimistic and shallow article. Who will prompt the AI for code? Manager? Also, you mentioned it gave wrong result at first. How did you know? Because you know how to code. As mentioned in other comment she should learn more about programming so she can become indispensible.

Also, the article is classical fallacy

https://yourlogicalfallacyis.com/appeal-to-emotion

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#15
post #2

> GPT4 gave the correct answer in 1/10th the time it would take Priya and cost a lot less. [...] Priya has tried to learn coding, but she has struggled. Not that she gets a lot of time to do it either. 1) Show Priya how to use GPT4 to do her current job in 1/10th of the time. 2) Let her use part (50%+) of the time saved to learn coding or whatever other skill she needs (not sure coding is it).

1) Competition is brutal. Many educated remain unemployed and the amount of work is not 10x. It also makes more sense to keep one person do 10 peoples job if there were more people doing it and avoid multiple people trying to co-ordinate.

2) Most if not all employers are not going to let 50% of the work time to go towards non income generating activities.

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#16
post #3
post #2

> GPT4 gave the correct answer in 1/10th the time it would take Priya and cost a lot less. [...] Priya has tried to learn coding, but she has struggled. Not that she gets a lot of time to do it either. 1) Show Priya how to use GPT4 to do her current job in 1/10th of the time. 2) Let her use part (50%+) of the time saved to learn coding or whatever other skill she needs (not sure coding is it).

> 1) Show Priya how to use GPT4 to do her current job in 1/10th of the time. Why would I subsidize that as a business owner? I can fire 9/10ths of the people who do that job instead.

Historically, in these situations your business is either about to become obsolete or is about to have much more competition. You could hire people to do the new tasks required to thrive, but it’s easier to retrain people you already know and who want to work for you.

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#17

>Priya has tried to learn coding, but she has struggled. Not that she gets a lot of time to do it either. What about time after work. That is when I learned to code. In between work and going to school in fact.

GPT is just moving us up the stack. Coding should be even more accessible for Priya now.

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#18
post #2

> GPT4 gave the correct answer in 1/10th the time it would take Priya and cost a lot less. [...] Priya has tried to learn coding, but she has struggled. Not that she gets a lot of time to do it either. 1) Show Priya how to use GPT4 to do her current job in 1/10th of the time. 2) Let her use part (50%+) of the time saved to learn coding or whatever other skill she needs (not sure coding is it).

This is hopeless fantasy.

What skills, exactly, would those be?

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#19
post #6

>if you’re anxious about GPT4 its probably because you’re a shitty programmer surely this is meant partly tongue-in-cheek?

I read it as pandering to his tech audience's ego. Surely it won't replace my listeners because they are too smart for that. Radio hosts do it all the time, "I'm not talking about my listeners who are on-average the most informed out there, I'm talking about..."

Re: I wish GPT4 had never happened

#20
I don't know how things will turn out but on the positive side two things come to mind:

- Priya may find work using gpt4 in her current job or in another company. Some types of work that are currently economically infeasible may become viable with a ten times speedup. It's certainly plausible that it will become worthwhile to do more of the kind of work she already does.

- if as a society we can do biotech research faster and cheaper there may be significant benefits to human health

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