I bet he's gettin something on the side to basically step into the ring of fear here and fire the flare of "now's the time". I don't think people really dispute that now is the time. The problem is the view point. You basically have to put money in and swear not to look at it again until 2013. Because the day by day view of that investment is heart attack unfolding as the bad news isn't going away, the affects of the…
Warren Buffett editorial in NYT: Buy American. I Am.
11–20 of 62 posts
Re: Warren Buffett editorial in NYT: Buy American. I Am.
#12I bet he's gettin something on the side to basically step into the ring of fear here and fire the flare of "now's the time". I don't think people really dispute that now is the time. The problem is the view point. You basically have to put money in and swear not to look at it again until 2013. Because the day by day view of that investment is heart attack unfolding as the bad news isn't going away, the affects of the…
Buffett is managing Berkshire Hathaway, which manages other people's investments. If you believe in his strategy, buy into his fund, don't try to imitate him.
There've been times - like 1998 - when Berkshire stock was very much overvalued, and you'd be better off imitating Buffett than buying him. Hell, back then, Buffett thought Berkshire stock was overvalued, and got rid of $20B of it in buying General Re. If Berkshire is selling Berkshire stock, it's probably a good sign that you should be imitating and not buying in.
...however, I don't think now is one of those times.
Re: Warren Buffett editorial in NYT: Buy American. I Am.
#13Re: Warren Buffett editorial in NYT: Buy American. I Am.
#14Earlier quoted context omitted.
Buffett is managing Berkshire Hathaway, which manages other people's investments. If you believe in his strategy, buy into his fund, don't try to imitate him.
Not necessarily. Berkshire's stock price is based on how well other people think Buffett manages money. And his reputation is pretty darn good right now. There've been times - like 1998 - when Berkshire stock was very much overvalued, and you'd be better off imitating Buffett than buying him. Hell, back then, Buffett thought Berkshire stock was overvalued, and got rid of $20B of it in buying General Re. If Berkshire…
Re: Warren Buffett editorial in NYT: Buy American. I Am.
#15Re: Warren Buffett editorial in NYT: Buy American. I Am.
#16Earlier quoted context omitted.
Not necessarily. Berkshire's stock price is based on how well other people think Buffett manages money. And his reputation is pretty darn good right now. There've been times - like 1998 - when Berkshire stock was very much overvalued, and you'd be better off imitating Buffett than buying him. Hell, back then, Buffett thought Berkshire stock was overvalued, and got rid of $20B of it in buying General Re. If Berkshire…
Unfortunately you can't imitate him with high accuracy the way you could with an ETF since they have a number of wholly-owned subsidiaries. That's also what allows their stock to get out of alignment with market value of their holdings.
Everything recent has been done with cash, AFAIK.
Re: Warren Buffett editorial in NYT: Buy American. I Am.
#17Re: Warren Buffett editorial in NYT: Buy American. I Am.
#18I bet he's gettin something on the side to basically step into the ring of fear here and fire the flare of "now's the time". I don't think people really dispute that now is the time. The problem is the view point. You basically have to put money in and swear not to look at it again until 2013. Because the day by day view of that investment is heart attack unfolding as the bad news isn't going away, the affects of the…
Buffett is managing Berkshire Hathaway, which manages other people's investments. If you believe in his strategy, buy into his fund, don't try to imitate him.
Re: Warren Buffett editorial in NYT: Buy American. I Am.
#19I bet he's gettin something on the side to basically step into the ring of fear here and fire the flare of "now's the time". I don't think people really dispute that now is the time. The problem is the view point. You basically have to put money in and swear not to look at it again until 2013. Because the day by day view of that investment is heart attack unfolding as the bad news isn't going away, the affects of the…
That being said, the last plunge came a day after the settlement of Fannie & Freddie for roughly 90 cents on the dollar. We do not know how much of a factor this was because we do not know whether the parties selling stock were cashing out to cover CDS liabilities. We do know that the contracts covering debt held by Lehman Bros are due to be settled later this month for about 10 cents on the dollar. Someone somewhere is going to eat major losses. It will be a good sign if we get to November without another plunge.
When this debt gets settled though, someone somewhere will have to sell assets to cover their debts. Assuming everyone is properly and responsibly hedged we shouldn't have major issues. But... uh.... 800 trillion is a pretty big number, and the incentive for CDS providers was clearly to gamble: take short-term payments in exchange for bearing risk and hoping you never have to pay up.
Frankly, if I had any US assets at this point I'd convert them into Australian holdings. The exchange rate phenomenal at this point and the shift will insulate against the coming crash of the US dollar. Things are worse than people imagine.