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Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points for the third time

federalreserve.gov

11–20 of 236 posts

Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points for the third time

#11

I'm wondering if they are going to bite the bullet and raise like Volcker. But again I realized that I actually do not understand the source of inflation and how much contribution each source has. We all know that the war, Covid and monetary policy are three sources but are there other structural sources? What about the trade quarrel between US and China? How much does it hurt for each industry? I should read some pa…

After the election...

Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points for the third time

#13
Given that mortgage rates recently rose past 6%, seems to me this latest rate increase is going to put strong pressure on house prices. The rate has a huge impact on the monthly payment required to service a loan, more so than is immediately apparent without doing the math.

Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points for the third time

#14
I'll echo what some folks have said in other threads, we've had rates down near zero for fifteen years, and we've got to get them back somewhere near historic normals at some point. If only so they can be cut again during the next crisis. How much is our entire culture the result of cheap money?

Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points for the third time

#15

I haven't seen any reporting on how the recent and huge amounts of QE might factor into all of this. In my primate mind, wouldn't ongoing QE curb the impact of rising interest rates on inflation?

I guess you meant QT and not QE.

Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points for the third time

#16

I'll echo what some folks have said in other threads, we've had rates down near zero for fifteen years, and we've got to get them back somewhere near historic normals at some point. If only so they can be cut again during the next crisis. How much is our entire culture the result of cheap money?

A substantial chunk of the tech industry are speculative zombie companies that are built on the edifice of zero interest.

Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points for the third time

#17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My understanding is that the US has so much more debt now than we did in the 80s that a rate hike of that magnitude would cause too much harm for the Fed to stomach.

Harm to who? Aren’t rate hikes beneficial to entities that have a lot of debt?

I’m no expert here, so someone by all means correct me, but my understanding is that the fed rate correlates to the rate of interest the government has to pay on its debts. The higher the rate, the larger the chance that the government defaults which for the US would be catastrophic.

Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points for the third time

#18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My understanding is that the US has so much more debt now than we did in the 80s that a rate hike of that magnitude would cause too much harm for the Fed to stomach.

Harm to who? Aren’t rate hikes beneficial to entities that have a lot of debt?

Not if it's variable debt, like credit card interest.

Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points for the third time

#19

Given that mortgage rates recently rose past 6%, seems to me this latest rate increase is going to put strong pressure on house prices. The rate has a huge impact on the monthly payment required to service a loan, more so than is immediately apparent without doing the math.

Quite possibly. It depends on what happens to supply and how desperate people are to sell.

Re: Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis points for the third time

#20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My understanding is that the US has so much more debt now than we did in the 80s that a rate hike of that magnitude would cause too much harm for the Fed to stomach.

Harm to who? Aren’t rate hikes beneficial to entities that have a lot of debt?

The US rolls over debt by paying off debt with new debt. So interest rate hikes would eventually lead to a hike in interest payments on bonds.

A sharp increase in bond interest payments set off the Greek crisis.

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