The puzzle doesn't fit.The ex KGB agent and the dancing comedian • Hacker News Board

Re: The puzzle doesn't fit.The ex KGB agent and the dancing comedian

#11

Post by vimax » Wed, Mar 09, 2022, 11:14 PM UTC

moistly wrote: post #9

vimax wrote: post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My guess is two reasons: He vastly underestimated Ukrainian resistance And Ukrainian resistance has been supported by Western intelligence and weapons Putin's day 1 plan was to seize most of the airfields and assassinate the president. These were attempted by trained forces and could have worked. The Ukrainians managed to stop them all. I'm sure these included cyber attacks we haven't heard about. After that the Ukra…

And Yes men and fearful underlings lied about the real state of affairs regarding preparedness, quality of equipment, training, enthusiasm, expenditures, etc. And Russia is corrupt to the core. Funding for training, equipment, maintenance, planning: stolen.

That seems to be contributing, but the puzzling thing is the lack of those problems in recent Russian conflicts in Syria, Crimea, etc...

How did their preparedness degrade so much in only a few years with no indication of Russian military bureaucratic breakdown from the outside?

I'd like to see satellite images of the Russian troop buildup on the border and in Belarus and see if there's any signs of the incompetence and lack of coordination we're seeing in the field.

Re: The puzzle doesn't fit.The ex KGB agent and the dancing comedian

#12

Post by moistly » Thu, Mar 10, 2022, 5:11 AM UTC

vimax wrote: post #11

moistly wrote: post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And Yes men and fearful underlings lied about the real state of affairs regarding preparedness, quality of equipment, training, enthusiasm, expenditures, etc. And Russia is corrupt to the core. Funding for training, equipment, maintenance, planning: stolen.

That seems to be contributing, but the puzzling thing is the lack of those problems in recent Russian conflicts in Syria, Crimea, etc... How did their preparedness degrade so much in only a few years with no indication of Russian military bureaucratic breakdown from the outside? I'd like to see satellite images of the Russian troop buildup on the border and in Belarus and see if there's any signs of the incompetence…

A little cheat here, a little theft there, grow it like the parable of grains of rice on a checkerboard.

Next thing you know, the cheap seals in the bearings of your wheels leak because someone who was supposed to ensure QA was being applied to incoming parts pocketed the money instead. And your soldiers are freezing because someone else didn’t get them winter kit.

The corrupt leader has a dozen corrupt ministers who have a dozen corrupt public servants each managing a dozen corrupt upper management… until eventually Wade in Procurement pockets a few thousand dollarydoos by not paying employee Enum to test the seals for Quality Standard X… and ditto for the other dozen(s) under Wade’s department.

As the corruption grows, it becomes more blatant. The Wades trust one another less. Start watching their back. Become more siloed. Underlings start noticing the corruption from above. It starts to infect the workplace… right down to the guy who installs the seals and notices they’re not as beefy as the previous shipment, but doesn’t say anything to his manager because he’ll just catch shit. The guy who was runs the Personal Deploy Kit checklist ordered heavy mittens, got wool fingered gloves. It’s career-limiting to get that corrected. Boys aren’t invading anyway, it’s just exercises.

Unchecked criminality grows exponentially as it goes downchain.

Re: The puzzle doesn't fit.The ex KGB agent and the dancing comedian

#13

Post by moistly » Mon, Mar 14, 2022, 6:31 AM UTC

vimax wrote: post #11

moistly wrote: post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And Yes men and fearful underlings lied about the real state of affairs regarding preparedness, quality of equipment, training, enthusiasm, expenditures, etc. And Russia is corrupt to the core. Funding for training, equipment, maintenance, planning: stolen.

That seems to be contributing, but the puzzling thing is the lack of those problems in recent Russian conflicts in Syria, Crimea, etc... How did their preparedness degrade so much in only a few years with no indication of Russian military bureaucratic breakdown from the outside? I'd like to see satellite images of the Russian troop buildup on the border and in Belarus and see if there's any signs of the incompetence…

This might interest you: https://mobile.twitter.com/kamilkazani/status/15026739525728...