Cloudy with a Chance of Bullshit (2018)
11–20 of 25 posts
Re: Cloudy with a Chance of Bullshit (2018)
#12Re: Cloudy with a Chance of Bullshit (2018)
#13This seems to imply that there isn't any high-resolution precipitation data available that could provide these "minute-by-minute" forecasts, but that isn't true. The National Weather Service provides several radar products that give data with resolutions in the range of 500 m using their NEXRAD technology[0]. This allows for some pretty good estimates of when precipitation will start and end over the next hour or so.…
Moreover, I've used minute-by-minute forecasts myself, and (at least where I lived at the time) they were quite accurate. My use case was "where is a 30 minute gap when I can walk home without getting soaked", and I never once got soaked. So much of the OP falls into the category of things-I-know-to-be-false-from-experience. The article really has a strong vibe of "algorithms are faulty, we need humans in the loop to…
Re: Cloudy with a Chance of Bullshit (2018)
#14Earlier quoted context omitted.
Moreover, I've used minute-by-minute forecasts myself, and (at least where I lived at the time) they were quite accurate. My use case was "where is a 30 minute gap when I can walk home without getting soaked", and I never once got soaked. So much of the OP falls into the category of things-I-know-to-be-false-from-experience. The article really has a strong vibe of "algorithms are faulty, we need humans in the loop to…
> It's certainly true that having a human in the loop leads to worse outcomes in chess (unless the human has enough modesty to just not do anything). No, this is actually totally false. There is a world championship in computer-aided correspondence chess [1], and you won't get anywhere near the top ranks by having "enough modesty to just not do anything." [1] https://www.iccf.com/
If not your assertion is false.
Re: Cloudy with a Chance of Bullshit (2018)
#15Browsers should work, right? I check the (Australian) Bureau of Meteorology website all the time on my phone. We use it to plan family trips and when to do the washing.
Re: Cloudy with a Chance of Bullshit (2018)
#16Re: Cloudy with a Chance of Bullshit (2018)
#17Take this with a grain of salt, but I’ve heard that there are stupid legal reasons (lobbied for by the private sector) why government agencies such as the NOAA are prohibited from offering their own apps or services. If that’s true then I think it might be worth directing your anger there first and foremost.
Re: Cloudy with a Chance of Bullshit (2018)
#18Earlier quoted context omitted.
> It's certainly true that having a human in the loop leads to worse outcomes in chess (unless the human has enough modesty to just not do anything). No, this is actually totally false. There is a world championship in computer-aided correspondence chess [1], and you won't get anywhere near the top ranks by having "enough modesty to just not do anything." [1] https://www.iccf.com/
Does deep blue participate? If not your assertion is false.
The state of art is much better now than before
Re: Cloudy with a Chance of Bullshit (2018)
#19Mainly I just have lights turn on before sunset, which works fine, but one of the programs I set up was for some indoor lights to turn on when it rains, as it usually gets quite gloomy here during rain.
It's quite common for that program to activate and turn the lights on when it's hot and sunny with no rain or clouds anywhere nearby.
I gather it must be because they're using this kind of weather forecast data and not doing any live/recent updating.
Re: Cloudy with a Chance of Bullshit (2018)
#20I'm not a huge enthusiast for home automation (we don't use any voice assistants), but we have a few Mirabella IoT light globes that can turn on/off on a schedule or in response to weather conditions. Mainly I just have lights turn on before sunset, which works fine, but one of the programs I set up was for some indoor lights to turn on when it rains, as it usually gets quite gloomy here during rain. It's quite commo…