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The Berkshire Hathaway of the Internet (2017)

awilkinson.medium.com

11–20 of 46 posts

Re: The Berkshire Hathaway of the Internet (2017)

#11
I figure that any acquirer who wants to go this route needs to basically be ready to pay in cash? Tying to finance a deal through debt (LBO or otherwise) would mean that you need to be prepared to do precisely the sort of DD bemoaned here?

Just trying to think through, “if it is so obvious, why isn’t everybody doing it?”

Re: The Berkshire Hathaway of the Internet (2017)

#12
post #9

There is more to BH than how they acquire companies. They also have a track recored of out performing S&P for decades. I doubt if BH alpha is because of their streamlined acquisition process. Does Tiny have a similar record?

Well the implication is that gets good prices by being a very easy acquirer which, if true, would certainly generate alpha.

Re: The Berkshire Hathaway of the Internet (2017)

#13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Exceptions to the rule. Precision Castparts, Burlington Northern, Clayton Homes, Duracell, Pacificorp, Lubrizol, Acme Brick, Dairy Queen, Pilot Flying J, all were bought as healthy companies.

> Clayton Homes TBD per John Oliver: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jCC8fPQOaxU

John Oliver doesn't approve of certain aspects in their business model, but when Clayton was acquired in 2003, it was a healthy company and has grown massively since.

Re: The Berkshire Hathaway of the Internet (2017)

#14
post #9

There is more to BH than how they acquire companies. They also have a track recored of out performing S&P for decades. I doubt if BH alpha is because of their streamlined acquisition process. Does Tiny have a similar record?

The author does not discuss how BH chooses which companies to target for acquisition. It's just not within the scope of this post. BH's success is because they choose their targets and the price wisely. Their higher closing rate is the multiplier that scales up the returns from their good targeting.

Re: The Berkshire Hathaway of the Internet (2017)

#15

I figure that any acquirer who wants to go this route needs to basically be ready to pay in cash? Tying to finance a deal through debt (LBO or otherwise) would mean that you need to be prepared to do precisely the sort of DD bemoaned here? Just trying to think through, “if it is so obvious, why isn’t everybody doing it?”

Cuz in the tech eco system there are just blue whales, baby blues and krill.

Its not exactly the serengeti of diversity required to build a berkshire zoo. Software is just bits.

Hardware and the pipes are a different story. There you can build a zoo.

Re: The Berkshire Hathaway of the Internet (2017)

#17
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

+1. Warren and charlie also say that they would rather buy good businesses at fair price than fair businesses (or cash strapped ones or ones about to go bankrupt. I know thats not what fair means) at good price.

There’s also the consideration that a good, healthy business doesn’t want to be bought. The opportunity only presents itself if you are willing to massively overpay or if a good business runs into financial issues. I worked for a Berkshire subsidiary before jumping into tech. First hand, it is zero bullshit that they invest in good management teams and let them run the business. The best run company I’ve ever worked…

[deleted]

Re: The Berkshire Hathaway of the Internet (2017)

#18
post #9

There is more to BH than how they acquire companies. They also have a track recored of out performing S&P for decades. I doubt if BH alpha is because of their streamlined acquisition process. Does Tiny have a similar record?

They don’t need a record because they’re not marketing to investors. If you want to sell your business, this is an advert. Sellers don’t need to worry about the buyer’s alpha.

Re: The Berkshire Hathaway of the Internet (2017)

#19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Clayton Homes TBD per John Oliver: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jCC8fPQOaxU

John Oliver doesn't approve of certain aspects in their business model, but when Clayton was acquired in 2003, it was a healthy company and has grown massively since.

Scamming people isn't a business model. Everyone makes mistakes and I think this is a miss for Warren. That doesn't mean Clayton can't turn it around. Maybe Warren sees something Oliver didn't. It just doesn't look to be on the up and up when put to scrutiny.

Re: The Berkshire Hathaway of the Internet (2017)

#20
If the genius business model relies on trusting people because "we have tons of mutual friends" then its just friends of friends investing in each other. That is not even slightly comparable to Berkshire Hathway and shows a stunning level of naivety.

The typical process requires due diligence because there is no trust - there are a huge amount of dodgy businesses, sketchy owners and smooth talkers trying to extract cash from investors.

This model might work for a few years but inevitably requires moving further out of the trust network where deeper and further due diligence is required. Or, its not done and every deal will get worse quality and expose them to more risk.

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