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Google+ will burst the tech bubble

news.ycombinator.com

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Re: Google+ will burst the tech bubble

#11

Post by ugh »

citricsquid wrote: post #3

IMO Facebook is not in any great danger from Google plus. Smaller start ups maybe, but Facebook has the not-tech-savvy market by the balls and google plus certainly isn't going to take them away. My brother, sister and father all use Facebook, none will be switching to google plus unless all their friends do, their friends won't switch unless their friends do... the Myspace/Facebook comparison doesn't work either, a…

I have seen a big switch from one social network to another one before: from StudiVZ to Facebook.

StudiVZ is a very competent and very early (launched long before Facebook entered the German market) German Facebook clone, it has some nice features former StudiVZ and current Facebook users are still missing.

Everyone and everyone's friends were on StudiVZ. Now everyone is on Facebook (everyone is also still on StudiVZ but it's not really used). The transition happened gradually but all it took in my social cirlce were some people to try it out and invite everyone else. The action shifted gradually from StudiVZ to Facebook in the following months.

The same hasn't yet happened to Google+, at least in my social circle. (It also took Facebook a few months, I would comsequently not read much into that.) But it might very well. The StudiVZ story leads me to believe that switches from one social network to another aren't as impossible as it seems.

(Replacement is also only one of several scenarios. Co-existance is possible, I think.)

Re: Google+ will burst the tech bubble

#12

Post by totalc »

Netscape's death throes began in 1998. The 90s tech bubble finally collapsed in early 2000.

Assuming this year marks the beginning of Facebook's death throes and extrapolating from recent history: Until 2013, let the (tech startup) good times roll!

Re: Google+ will burst the tech bubble

#13

Post by beatpanda »

citricsquid wrote: post #3

IMO Facebook is not in any great danger from Google plus. Smaller start ups maybe, but Facebook has the not-tech-savvy market by the balls and google plus certainly isn't going to take them away. My brother, sister and father all use Facebook, none will be switching to google plus unless all their friends do, their friends won't switch unless their friends do... the Myspace/Facebook comparison doesn't work either, a…

I don't know, all my friends already switched to Google+, and none of them are particularly tech savvy (outside of being young enough to have been raised with the Internet).

Re: Google+ will burst the tech bubble

#15

Post by willheim »

FB has but to do one thing to remain king of the heap and that is to maintain focus. The more junk they add to the site, the more ads, games, stupid apps (find out who's stalking you!) the uglier and more MySpace-like it becomes. FB succeeded in large part because it refused to be everything to everyone and become uglier. That said, the experience I get viewing my FB feed is aesthetically less pleasing as the months go on.

G+ OTOH is the new, shiny, clean kid on the block and my feeds are still pristine.

If FB continues on the path they are on the influential thought leaders who hate clutter will completely leave for G+ and that will be the beginning of the end of FB.

Would G clutter up G+ with junk? Not likely. They LOVE all that more detailed info you're voluntarily giving them that they can then serve up tailored (revenue-generating) ads on your Gmail, searches, partner sites, etc.

Re: Google+ will burst the tech bubble

#16

Post by phyllotaxis »

troymc wrote: post #7
citricsquid wrote: post #3

IMO Facebook is not in any great danger from Google plus. Smaller start ups maybe, but Facebook has the not-tech-savvy market by the balls and google plus certainly isn't going to take them away. My brother, sister and father all use Facebook, none will be switching to google plus unless all their friends do, their friends won't switch unless their friends do... the Myspace/Facebook comparison doesn't work either, a…

It's not like you have to choose Facebook xor Google+. You can use both. For me, it's looking like I'll use Facebook to keep up with old schoolmates and relatives, and I'll use Google+ for keeping up with other circles (e.g. photographers and tech reporters). TV didn't kill radio.

[Quote]TV didn't kill radio[\quote]

Nope, but the internet is. (i work in radio, BTW)

Can't happen soon enough, if you ask me.

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