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Vaccine Hesitancy for Covid-19: State, County, and Local Estimates

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Re: Vaccine Hesitancy for Covid-19: State, County, and Local Estimates

#11

Post by renewiltord »

greesil wrote: post #3

Why does the data change so much on the boundaries of states? I would expect the data to be locally correlated, and there wouldn't be discrepancies between neighboring rural counties that are in different states.

Very good point. I wonder if there are local state policies in effect that artifact the data or if there is some sort of state-level estimator being used.

Re: Vaccine Hesitancy for Covid-19: State, County, and Local Estimates

#12

Post by adamrezich »

greesil wrote: post #3

Why does the data change so much on the boundaries of states? I would expect the data to be locally correlated, and there wouldn't be discrepancies between neighboring rural counties that are in different states.

people live in cities/towns/etc. which are exist in counties which exist in states. the data is per-county. vaccination policies/attitudes are largely defined by governors, who lead states. states often have a shared culture, but sometimes different parts of states have varying cultures.

often, population density affects culture/attitudes toward these sorts of things. as with many such maps, adding an additional analysis layer denoting population density would yield interesting results. (though if you intuitively know the population densities of various "outlier" states, and you know where major cities are in the lesser-populated states, you can already intuitively draw some correlations yourself.)

Re: Vaccine Hesitancy for Covid-19: State, County, and Local Estimates

#13

Post by vladislav »

greesil wrote: post #3

Why does the data change so much on the boundaries of states? I would expect the data to be locally correlated, and there wouldn't be discrepancies between neighboring rural counties that are in different states.

The model probably takes into account the state as a variable, and states vary as far as average hesitancy goes and in terms of vaccine distribution strategy.

Re: Vaccine Hesitancy for Covid-19: State, County, and Local Estimates

#15

Post by ultimoo »

jwilber wrote: post #6

As someone who moved from Seattle to San Diego recently, I am happy to see both areas doing very well with regards to vaccine hesitancy! Having grown up in San Diego, I actually find it somewhat surprising how low the hesitancy is.

Why are you surprised at San Diego? I know very little about the culture there so I'm curious

Re: Vaccine Hesitancy for Covid-19: State, County, and Local Estimates

#16

Post by TechBro8615 »

greesil wrote: post #3

Why does the data change so much on the boundaries of states? I would expect the data to be locally correlated, and there wouldn't be discrepancies between neighboring rural counties that are in different states.

Could be sampling discrepancies? I’m no statistician but I would assume there’s a good chance it’s due to the modeling rather than an actual reality.

Re: Vaccine Hesitancy for Covid-19: State, County, and Local Estimates

#17

Post by nojito »

greesil wrote: post #3

Why does the data change so much on the boundaries of states? I would expect the data to be locally correlated, and there wouldn't be discrepancies between neighboring rural counties that are in different states.

Because they use state level data first.

Methodology here.

https://data.cdc.gov/stories/s/Vaccine-Hesitancy-for-COVID-1...

Re: Vaccine Hesitancy for Covid-19: State, County, and Local Estimates

#18

Post by howmayiannoyyou »

Tentative thinking... As someone who likely had CoV in early 2020, and who has had 1 of 2 Moderna vaccines, I am getting my antibodies tested every few months. At the point at which they start declining I would feel better get the 2nd dose; or if the booster is released beforehand. That aside, I can't see the upside in my second dose given the long haul reaction I had to dose #1. I wish the CDC would weigh in formally on 2nd doses for those who had Covid and/or high antibody responses.

Re: Vaccine Hesitancy for Covid-19: State, County, and Local Estimates

#20

Post by spaetzleesser »

I hope this will change the more people have been vaccinated and are eligible. I know several people who a few months ago said that they would "never" get the vaccine and a few months they all got it or are in line.

Every 4 years you also have a lot of people saying "if XXX wins the presidency I'll move to Canada/Mexico". They are all still there.

It's good to ask people but they also change their minds quickly once they have more information.

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