11–20 of 146 posts
Quantum computers of this scale are probably 5-15 years out. Basically this is a warning that if you have secrets that should still be kept secret over that timeframe, you should not be using RSA today.
Of course nobody knows, but these things are still very far from anything that is running today.
For factoring 2048 RSA integers, the technique proposed in the paper would require ~430 million memory qubits (see the table at top of page 16).
Quantum computers of this scale are probably 5-15 years out. Basically this is a warning that if you have secrets that should still be kept secret over that timeframe, you should not be using RSA today.
Quantum computers of this scale are probably 5-15 years out. Basically this is a warning that if you have secrets that should still be kept secret over that timeframe, you should not be using RSA today.
I'd be willing to bet a lot that it's not 5 years, and am still quite confident it's not 15. Of course nobody knows, but these things are still very far from anything that is running today.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Do I understand correctly, that largest quantum computer that exists today contains less than 100 qubits? Also it does not seem that there's an exponential grow in this area: https://www.statista.com/statistics/993634/quantum-computers... . They hit the wall in 2017. We should be safe for now :)
IBM has 1000 qubits on their roadmap by 2023 [1]. I'm interested to see how that goes, and what we can learn from it about scaling up these systems into the thousands of qubits. Edit: for anyone interested in learning more about quantum computation, I have a list of resources on my website [2]. [1] https://www.ibm.com/blogs/research/2020/09/ibm-quantum-roadm... [2] https://cameronperot.com/resources/#quantum-physics
Quantum computers of this scale are probably 5-15 years out. Basically this is a warning that if you have secrets that should still be kept secret over that timeframe, you should not be using RSA today.
I'd be willing to bet a lot that it's not 5 years, and am still quite confident it's not 15. Of course nobody knows, but these things are still very far from anything that is running today.
Just to be clear such a machine has not yet been built. This is only a theoretical paper at the moment.
Quantum computers of this scale are probably 5-15 years out. Basically this is a warning that if you have secrets that should still be kept secret over that timeframe, you should not be using RSA today.
Even if it was, 177days for cracking your password with the most advanced technology that exists in the world, still means you have some very powerful enemies. Practically you don't need to think about it.