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Geography Students Pretty Accurately Predicted Osama Bin Laden's Location [pdf]

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Re: Geography Students Pretty Accurately Predicted Osama Bin Laden's Location [pdf]

#11

Post by kgermino »

socillion wrote: post #8
j2d2j2d2 wrote: post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Quite the contrary... these people hacked information for some goal, which is EXACTLY the essence of HN.

Does +/- karma persist after a comment is deleted? It seems to be becoming common practice to delete comments that are downvoted.

It persists, but by deleting the comment they can prevent more people from down-voting it.

This say something stupid, wait for the down-votes to begin, then delete it cowardice pisses me off, but I guess it's not something to get upset over.

Re: Geography Students Pretty Accurately Predicted Osama Bin Laden's Location [pdf]

#12

Post by camperman »

socillion wrote: post #7

tl;dr: > Our results based on his last know location in 2001 indicate that there is a 98% probability that he is in Kurram, Pakistan, and an 86.6% probability that he is within one of the seven FATAs. > ... The hypotheses that Osama bin Laden is: (1) located in the Kurram region of Pakistan, (2) located in the city of Parachinar, and (3) at one of the three hypothesized buildings. all 3 of those were false. Abbotatab…

But as they say, "these methods are repeatable and could easily be updated with new information obtained from the US intelligence community on his last known location."

If you add what we know now about Bin Laden's courier - obtained by the intelligence community but naturally kept secret until now - their methodology would have nailed it down to just a couple of buildings in Abbottabad. That's very impressive IMHO.

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