Since WW2 we have enjoyed the longest ever period without direct conflict between great powers. How much longer can we expect this to last?
Predictions for 2020–2029
11–20 of 35 posts
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#12I predict the vast majority of people will never again understand that new decades, centuries, and millenia begin on January 1st of years ending in '1' and not '0' because there never was a Year 0. Everyone knew that 50 years ago, which is why Kubrick didn't call it '2000: A Space Odyssey.'
But nobody refers to decades as the nth decade. We in fact refer to them by their leading digit. So no, it’s the 20s again.
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#13I predict the vast majority of people will never again understand that new decades, centuries, and millenia begin on January 1st of years ending in '1' and not '0' because there never was a Year 0. Everyone knew that 50 years ago, which is why Kubrick didn't call it '2000: A Space Odyssey.'
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#14I predict the vast majority of people will never again understand that new decades, centuries, and millenia begin on January 1st of years ending in '1' and not '0' because there never was a Year 0. Everyone knew that 50 years ago, which is why Kubrick didn't call it '2000: A Space Odyssey.'
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#15Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#16Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's the 20's, deal with it.
It is 20s, but not a new decade :) See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decade
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#17> People are scared and want their leaders to protect their jobs from foreign competition. It's not 'competition' that people are afraid of, it is unfair government intervention and tariffs. The idea with Trump's trade wars is that if a country imposes tariff's on US goods, the US will respond in kind until those tariff's are removed and fair competition is restored. Whether or not this is actually happening in pract…
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#18The section on Nationalism indicates to me that we're heading towards a period of major, great-power conflict. I could see it being a lot of smaller, officially unrelated wars or one big one. Since WW2 we have enjoyed the longest ever period without direct conflict between great powers. How much longer can we expect this to last?
Re: Predictions for 2020–2029
#19The section on Nationalism indicates to me that we're heading towards a period of major, great-power conflict. I could see it being a lot of smaller, officially unrelated wars or one big one. Since WW2 we have enjoyed the longest ever period without direct conflict between great powers. How much longer can we expect this to last?
The difference in great power wars since WW2 is we now have nuclear weapons (yes apart from the bombing of Japan). As long as we fight proxy wars (Vietnam, Syria) then we haven't used them, but I can't see a war between for example the US and China over Taiwan or European states and Russia not devolving into nuclear war very quickly.
We are as close as ever to nuclear war according to the doomsday clock, just two minutes to midnight.