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SoftBank Next 30-Year Vision (2010) [pdf]

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11–20 of 48 posts

Re: SoftBank Next 30-Year Vision (2010) [pdf]

#11

The scope of a 30 years vision I would be happy with would encompass the channeling of capital away from old fat clown bankers, toward its efficient distribution to young hungry minds.

So at some point in such a future it'll be the old, beatup guys who want to take the money from the young, elite, smart people.

How about we just shoot for 'everyones lives are improved' instead of just passing the buck.

Re: SoftBank Next 30-Year Vision (2010) [pdf]

#12
post #10

On one slide, there's a mention that in 2300, computers will have 10^60 elements in them. However, there's only 10^50 atoms on Earth.

You are forgetting that atoms mean nothing. It's about the hamiltonian, action, energy. There is no reason that you cannot use a shit ton of photons in flux with mirrored logic gates. You can pretty much create as many low frequency bosons you want... Remember relay lines as RAM? Electrons were used. Expensive compared to a lower energy particle like a photon. Photon relay lines :-)

Re: SoftBank Next 30-Year Vision (2010) [pdf]

#16
post #10

On one slide, there's a mention that in 2300, computers will have 10^60 elements in them. However, there's only 10^50 atoms on Earth.

It's even worse. That slide compares number of computer elements vs. number of cells in human brain. The graph starts at 1x the amount (CPU == brain), and ends 10^60x the amount.

Re: SoftBank Next 30-Year Vision (2010) [pdf]

#18
Slide 43: Contention that Transistors are comparable to cells. This crazy talk is continued throughout the presentation.

Slide 44: Contends that Moore's law will continue for the next 300 years.

Slide 58: A fantastic butchering of Maslow's hierarchy of needs.

Slide 61: Unsubstantiated (probably wrong) claim life expectancy is going to linearly increase for the next 300 years.

Slide 73: Contention that storage scales at the same rate as number of transistors on a CPU and apparently conflates that with the power of a CPU.

Slide 82-85: Contention that we'll acheive VR in... 2040.

I mean this presentation is just laughably shit. It's like it's written by someone who has no interest or understanding of the complexity of the things they're meant to be talking about. You would have thought that people would see some of the absurd things that are just obviously rubbish and have it damage the credibility of the presentation, but apparently not.

Re: SoftBank Next 30-Year Vision (2010) [pdf]

#19
300 year plan. No wonder they fell for WeWork.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21297789

Adam Neumann: “It’s important that one day, maybe in 100 years, maybe in 300 years, a great-great-granddaughter of mine will walk into that room and say, ‘Hey, you don’t know me; I actually control the place. The way you’re acting is not how we built it,'” he said."

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