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‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

nytimes.com

11–20 of 289 posts

Re: ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

#11

"Stocks have been in a sideways struggle since the Standard & Poor’s 500 last peaked on Jan. 26." Is this really true? Almost every single stock I've been tracking has just been going up this year, especially the tech ones. Even ones with decreasing revenues like GoPro.

It's basically true, except for some sectors, like tech...

Re: ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

#13
post #2

Is there a way to see NY times articles? Hn links to NY times always brings up a pay wall.

Disabling JavaScript works for me, no paywall.

Same here. NoScript in default deny all JS and the article appears with no paywall.

Re: ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

#14
post #8

> The so-called yield curve is perilously close to predicting a recession — something it has done before with surprising accuracy — and it’s become a big topic on Wall Street. > The yield curve is basically the difference between interest rates on short-term United States government bonds, say, two-year Treasury notes, and long-term government bonds, like 10-year Treasury notes. > Typically, when an economy seems in…

inversion of the yield-curve aka short-term > long-term-bond-yields should be (is a) good indicator of a looming recession...

Re: ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

#15

"Stocks have been in a sideways struggle since the Standard & Poor’s 500 last peaked on Jan. 26." Is this really true? Almost every single stock I've been tracking has just been going up this year, especially the tech ones. Even ones with decreasing revenues like GoPro.

Ford has been sliding for 5 years: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/F?ql=1&p=F

GE has been in freefall: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GE?p=GE&.tsrc=fin-srch

Honeywell has basically been stagnate since January: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/HON?p=HON&.tsrc=fin-srch

Same with 3M: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MMM?p=MMM&.tsrc=fin-srch

The S&P500 index as a whole has crept up a little but many of them are struggling.

Edit: I can't figure out how to get it to link to the 5 year charts, which is how I was looking at it.

Re: ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

#16

"Stocks have been in a sideways struggle since the Standard & Poor’s 500 last peaked on Jan. 26." Is this really true? Almost every single stock I've been tracking has just been going up this year, especially the tech ones. Even ones with decreasing revenues like GoPro.

Ford has been sliding for 5 years: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/F?ql=1&p=F GE has been in freefall: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GE?p=GE&.tsrc=fin-srch Honeywell has basically been stagnate since January: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/HON?p=HON&.tsrc=fin-srch Same with 3M: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MMM?p=MMM&.tsrc=fin-srch The S&P500 index as a whole has crept up a little but many of them are struggling…

What about Walgreens (with their recent replacement of GE on the DJIA)?

Edit: Yep, Walgreens also not much higher vs 5 years ago.

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WBA?p=WBA

Re: ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

#17

"Stocks have been in a sideways struggle since the Standard & Poor’s 500 last peaked on Jan. 26." Is this really true? Almost every single stock I've been tracking has just been going up this year, especially the tech ones. Even ones with decreasing revenues like GoPro.

The language of financial reporting is always amusing, when compared with any other commodity.

"Milk has been in a sideways struggle since January 26. Carrots, too."

Re: ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

#19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ford has been sliding for 5 years: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/F?ql=1&p=F GE has been in freefall: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GE?p=GE&.tsrc=fin-srch Honeywell has basically been stagnate since January: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/HON?p=HON&.tsrc=fin-srch Same with 3M: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MMM?p=MMM&.tsrc=fin-srch The S&P500 index as a whole has crept up a little but many of them are struggling…

What about Walgreens (with their recent replacement of GE on the DJIA)? Edit: Yep, Walgreens also not much higher vs 5 years ago. https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WBA?p=WBA

They're down about 10% on the year: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WBA?p=WBA&.tsrc=fin-srch

Also hadn't seen that news. Interesting.

Re: ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention

#20
post #8

> The so-called yield curve is perilously close to predicting a recession — something it has done before with surprising accuracy — and it’s become a big topic on Wall Street. > The yield curve is basically the difference between interest rates on short-term United States government bonds, say, two-year Treasury notes, and long-term government bonds, like 10-year Treasury notes. > Typically, when an economy seems in…

The Fed is reducing its budget sheet which will have a significant effect on the yield curve. Inviting comparisons between the yield curve now versus any other point in history is foolish. These are probably the same people who predicted a recession when Trump was elected, after Brexit, and at least once a month for the last decade
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