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Assume only 10% of the current software will be relevant after 10 years

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Re: Assume only 10% of the current software will be relevant after 10 years

#12
The only ones I am willing to wager on are corporate infrastructure related software and domain specific software (like CAD tools, movie animation tools etc). For similar legacy reasons, I am willing to add Linux derivatives and GNU C compiler, but won't wager on them.

Re: Assume only 10% of the current software will be relevant after 10 years

#16
post #12

The only ones I am willing to wager on are corporate infrastructure related software and domain specific software (like CAD tools, movie animation tools etc). For similar legacy reasons, I am willing to add Linux derivatives and GNU C compiler, but won't wager on them.

Thanks to Minecraft, I expect a whole new batch of Java developers over the next several years.

Re: Assume only 10% of the current software will be relevant after 10 years

#18
post #17

Looking at what's already been around for >10 years: vim, emacs, linux, windows, mac os x, nethack (plus a whole stack of programming languages like C).

That's an excellent observation. Probably a better question would be what software younger than 10 years will still be around in 10 years. I'm thinking Go, Rust, Servo, DeepMind, Uber, Slack, Android, iOS (not sure about the age of the last 2), all the cloud providers' software, and a lot of other stuff. Probably docker as well.

Re: Assume only 10% of the current software will be relevant after 10 years

#20
post #16
post #12

The only ones I am willing to wager on are corporate infrastructure related software and domain specific software (like CAD tools, movie animation tools etc). For similar legacy reasons, I am willing to add Linux derivatives and GNU C compiler, but won't wager on them.

Thanks to Minecraft, I expect a whole new batch of Java developers over the next several years.

Didn't it get ported after MS bought it?
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