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Why I don’t have a girlfriend: an application of the Drake Equation [pdf]

www2.warwick.ac.uk

11–13 of 13 posts

Re: Why I don’t have a girlfriend: an application of the Drake Equation [pdf]

#11
Obviously this is just for fun, but the author screws up his reasoning pretty badly. For example:

a) He says .0014% when he means 0.14%.

b) He interprets "X% of Londoners fit my criteria" as "on a given night, I have X% chance of meeting someone fitting my criteria". Apparently on a given night he meets exactly one randomly-sampled Londoner?

Re: Why I don’t have a girlfriend: an application of the Drake Equation [pdf]

#12
post #11

Obviously this is just for fun, but the author screws up his reasoning pretty badly. For example: a) He says .0014% when he means 0.14%. b) He interprets "X% of Londoners fit my criteria" as "on a given night, I have X% chance of meeting someone fitting my criteria". Apparently on a given night he meets exactly one randomly-sampled Londoner?

c) He hand-waves through very important parts of the calculation (how many women he gets along with, how many find him attractive).

d) He doesn't give himself any credit for being able to selectively meet people close to his age and education level.

Re: Why I don’t have a girlfriend: an application of the Drake Equation [pdf]

#13

I am going to go out on a limb and say the reason he does not have a girlfriend is the fact he is too busy pondering the Drake equation. It's funny how highly analytical people can quantify the most difficult things, but fail to see the obvious. I am sure there is some sort of equation you could perform to figure out how many girls you have to meet daily to increase odds - but instead of doing that, go out and actual…

Totally agree... The real world offers more opportunities than what mathematics can imagine!
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