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Small Models Have Arrived

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Re: Small Models Have Arrived

#2
> There's obviously a lot we can optimize here, but if you're charging what the WSJ or The Economist charges, you'd better be delivering similar value.

Gosh, watching paint dry has been a better value than reading The Economist in the last 5 years or so.

That aside, I had good results with Luna. I'd be interested in hearing about a comparison that takes into consideration response time (not TPS), cost and performance of the popular models at different settings. That chart has some of that. For instance, is Luna Max a better value than Terra Medium?

Re: Small Models Have Arrived

#3
I find it quite funny all these folks who are addicted to chasing frontier models, only just noticing that small models became "good enough" for most tasks. Those of us without fable-sized expense accounts noticed this quite a while back

Re: Small Models Have Arrived

#5

I find it quite funny all these folks who are addicted to chasing frontier models, only just noticing that small models became "good enough" for most tasks. Those of us without fable-sized expense accounts noticed this quite a while back

Exactly! Composer 2/2.5 were amazing, cheap, and fast. Everyone else was Gaga about GPT 5.5 and such, while we were over here doing the work with less cost and more speed

Re: Small Models Have Arrived

#6
post #2

> There's obviously a lot we can optimize here, but if you're charging what the WSJ or The Economist charges, you'd better be delivering similar value. Gosh, watching paint dry has been a better value than reading The Economist in the last 5 years or so. That aside, I had good results with Luna. I'd be interested in hearing about a comparison that takes into consideration response time (not TPS), cost and performance…

[flagged]

Re: Small Models Have Arrived

#7

I find it quite funny all these folks who are addicted to chasing frontier models, only just noticing that small models became "good enough" for most tasks. Those of us without fable-sized expense accounts noticed this quite a while back

Exactly. Even 32b parameter models you can run locally on consumer hardware are "good enough" at this point for some workflows!

Re: Small Models Have Arrived

#8
IMO big models are not a product in and of themselves. Inference is just a new type of compute. I'm confident that in two or three years, every product will have inference capabilities integrated into the experience, and models will become less and less distinctive from one another.

What most products need from a model is a pretty short list: the ability to make tool calls well, accurate recall, and the ability to follow directions without wavering (whether or not those directions are baked into the weights or provided in a system prompt). That covers 95% of inference utility in products.

We're nearly there, and I believe these capabilities will fit on small models.

Because of this though, I predict hardware demand will stay high despite demand for "hosted" inference dropping. Unless there's some regulatory shenanigans that step in to say otherwise.

Re: Small Models Have Arrived

#9

I find it quite funny all these folks who are addicted to chasing frontier models, only just noticing that small models became "good enough" for most tasks. Those of us without fable-sized expense accounts noticed this quite a while back

I’ve been playing around with Luna, Terra and Sol and for the type of work I’ve been doing lately I actually think Sol is just a likely to trip up as Luna. Examples were Sol over assuming, persisting in the wrong direction, over engineering a little script to do some exploration of api. They can all be fixed but it’s a waste of tokens, I rather have Luna do it because course correction on small pieces of work is cheaper.

Re: Small Models Have Arrived

#10
> But I also think the demand for "fast/cheap/good-enough" models is just about to take off.

There's a sort of "revelation" I had in ~early '24 when I used a 7B local model with a library called Guidance (initially out of MS, then the team moved) to create a flow where the model would receive pseudocode for tests, first write the tests, and once I approved then started writing code until the tests passed. This was before "thinking" models, and yet using that library I was able to "guide" the model in the required "prompt / instruct" context such that it was working towards completion, and I saw the first things like we see now in the thinking traces "oh, test x doesn't pass because blah, I need to..." and so on.

Anyway, the revelation was "even if the models never improve, I'll have years of fun finding out all the ways I can use these things". And, obviously, the models improved a lot since then. But I think that revelation can still be applied, as a sort of "truism". We have, right now, access to things that 10-20 years ago would be considered magic. We are still finding ways of cobbling together systems with glue, duct tape and prayers and find new things they can do.

I think the "good-enough" stage has come not just for API models (cheap, fast, etc) but for local as well. Even if slower, even if clunkier, but they are good enough for a set of ever increasing tasks, and what's more it's incredibly fun to work with them.

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