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The Mystery of Our Declining Mobility

theatlanticcities.com

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Re: The Mystery of Our Declining Mobility

#2
Thought this would be about international travel. Per head of population (to get a measure that is population irrelevant) would be an interesting break down of international travel. Have been searching with little luck. Germany seems a likely high scorer.

Re: The Mystery of Our Declining Mobility

#4
I'd guess it has to do with a few things that are not at all related to the recession...

1) Globalization - the lessons learned and processes formed from globalization have in a sense come back to be applied domestically. Increasingly dominant corporations usually have numerous satellite offices to be able to tap the talent and resources throughout the country. For example if you are a Finance guy and you want to work for Google that doesn't mean you have to be working in the Mountain View office (I'd assume). Just about every city has a pretty diverse set of employment opportunities.

2) Increasingly Artificial Relationships - This one is very debatable but for a number of reasons (culture, technology, etc.) Id say that establishing light bonds with lots of people is incredibly easy these days but establishing a strong support network of friends is increasingly hard. I'd guess that due to this people will increasingly be incentivized to stay within the general vicinity of longtime friends and family rather than moving across the country with the risk of never being able to build and be surrounded by a network of "real" relationships. YMMV but I think its getting harder to find 3 new great "will pick you up when you're in the gutter" friends.

3) Similar to number 1 - the US geographically is becoming more the same than different in my opinion. There are certainly still differences but if you move to another state its highly likely that you will be surrounded by a mixture of city and suburbs that contain the same types of things just with different names. Probably mass media and the internet are responsible for this one.

Re: The Mystery of Our Declining Mobility

#5

Thought this would be about international travel. Per head of population (to get a measure that is population irrelevant) would be an interesting break down of international travel. Have been searching with little luck. Germany seems a likely high scorer.

I think this is a bad metric. Small countries would score high. For an extreme example, it would not surprise me if the average inhabitant of Vatican City made over 50 international trips a year (many of them of less than an hour)

Also, island nations would likely score lower (a Polynesian island the size of Vatican City), as would 'virtual islands' that are remote in travel distance (due to mountains, deserts, badlands, etc)

For that reason, I would think Dutchmen will make more international trips than Germans, per head.

Maybe you should compare the probability that a one day random walk using typical means of transport ends up in another country with the actual fraction of travels that does?

Re: The Mystery of Our Declining Mobility

#6
Interesting that the article didn't bring up economic mobility. It's dramatically declined in the US over that time period, and it's also a fairly U.S.-specific phenomenon. How much of the old motion was based on financial upgrades? I don't know but it's seems worth considering.

Re: The Mystery of Our Declining Mobility

#7
On the up side: perhaps a more liberal, open, freedom-oriented society enables people to stay without feeling they need to "start anew" for any number of lifestyle traits that may, in the past, not have been as easy to pull off in conservative environs.

We forget how even as recently as the 60s, (as Mad Men so demonstrates) we lived in a deeply prejudiced society where freedom to live how one wanted really wasn't an option in most places.

Re: The Mystery of Our Declining Mobility

#8
On the up side: perhaps a more liberal, open, freedom-oriented society enables people to stay without feeling they need to "start anew" for any number of lifestyle traits that may, in the past, not have been as easy to pull off in conservative environs.

We forget how even as recently as the 60s, (as Mad Men so demonstrates) we lived in a deeply prejudiced society where freedom to live how one wanted really wasn't an option in most places.

Re: The Mystery of Our Declining Mobility

#9
It is interesting data that seems to call for explanation. Two things that have kept me personally from moving:

1. Middle class wages have stagnated while housing, food and gas expenses have exploded. There are very few jobs worth the hassle and expense of relocation.

2. If you are divorced with children, it is not possible to move very far without losing your family.

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