DeepMind's WeatherNext model achieves breakthrough forecasting cyclones
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Re: DeepMind's WeatherNext model achieves breakthrough forecasting cyclones
#2From the tagline in the article: "WeatherNext enables accurate cyclone forecasts that can give an extra day of warning. Now we are open sourcing the model."
Re: DeepMind's WeatherNext model achieves breakthrough forecasting cyclones
#3I just discovered typhoon/cyclone predictions and they're insane. I get mine via https://zoom.earth (whose iPhone app is terrific).
Here's a selection from Typhoon Dolphin, currently sitting off the east coast of China.
Dolphin continues its slow, trochoidal Z motion, generally heading westward deeper into the East China Sea. Over the past 12 hours, the system completed another cyclonic loop and has decelerated, exhibiting continued meandering prior to establishing a sustained westward track.
The erratic motion witnessed over the past two days is attributable to a weak steering environment produced by a break in the subtropical ridge 2 over Korea, combined with the dynamics where the inner core is cocooned within a much larger parent circulation.
While the general steering pattern is weak, a mesoscale deep-layer ridge is seen building over southern Japan.
Here's Chan-hom, which threatens to make my birthday a windy day here in northern Japan.
Intensity guidance is in good agreement overall. However, the JTWC forecast is placed lower than all the guidance save for Google DeepMind over the next 36 hours, before joining the consensus envelope (which peaks at 95 km/h (50 knots) at 60 hours) through the remainder of the forecast.
Re: DeepMind's WeatherNext model achieves breakthrough forecasting cyclones
#4They should try to forecast earthquakes, that would really be a breakthrough If anything better than random comes out
Re: DeepMind's WeatherNext model achieves breakthrough forecasting cyclones
#5It seems especially useful for cargo ships, with better predictions they could save some fuel and be safer.
Re: DeepMind's WeatherNext model achieves breakthrough forecasting cyclones
#6It seems especially useful for cargo ships, with better predictions they could save some fuel and be safer.
Wake me up once commercial airplanes can take advantage of this and take us across the Atlantic in less than 5 hours.
Re: DeepMind's WeatherNext model achieves breakthrough forecasting cyclones
#7They should try to forecast earthquakes, that would really be a breakthrough If anything better than random comes out
Is this even feasible with our current sensor data?
Re: DeepMind's WeatherNext model achieves breakthrough forecasting cyclones
#8It seems especially useful for cargo ships, with better predictions they could save some fuel and be safer.
Wake me up once commercial airplanes can take advantage of this and take us across the Atlantic in less than 5 hours.
planes fly above the weather, so kinda irrelevant. you can cross the atlantic fast with something like the Concorde
Re: DeepMind's WeatherNext model achieves breakthrough forecasting cyclones
#9They should try to forecast earthquakes, that would really be a breakthrough If anything better than random comes out
Google has the early warning system that gives people maybe 20-30s to e.g. turn off gas, stop vehicles, get under something solid. There was a lot of news recently about how this saved many thousands of lives in Venezuela I think it was.
But hey let's all keep shitting on Google because their coding agent is slightly worse than SOTA.
Re: DeepMind's WeatherNext model achieves breakthrough forecasting cyclones
#10Maybe was this that was the last drop for Sundar.
Demis: "I have a new amazing breakthrough"
Sundar: "Great! We really need a answer to Sol and Fable"
Demis: "They are completely owned in typhoon forecasting"