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Claude Opus 4.6 accuracy on BridgeBench hallucination test drops from 83% to 68%

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Re: Claude Opus 4.6 accuracy on BridgeBench hallucination test drops from 83% to 68%

#2
Because the website doesn't seem to show any sample size of runs, I assume they ran it once across the suite.

The models are nondeterministic, and therefore it's pretty normal for different runs to give different results.

I don't see this as evidence that Opus 4.6 has gotten worse.

Re: Claude Opus 4.6 accuracy on BridgeBench hallucination test drops from 83% to 68%

#3
post #2

Because the website doesn't seem to show any sample size of runs, I assume they ran it once across the suite. The models are nondeterministic, and therefore it's pretty normal for different runs to give different results. I don't see this as evidence that Opus 4.6 has gotten worse.

are models really non deterministic?

Re: Claude Opus 4.6 accuracy on BridgeBench hallucination test drops from 83% to 68%

#4
post #3
post #2

Because the website doesn't seem to show any sample size of runs, I assume they ran it once across the suite. The models are nondeterministic, and therefore it's pretty normal for different runs to give different results. I don't see this as evidence that Opus 4.6 has gotten worse.

are models really non deterministic?

Yes. Look up LLM "temperature" - it's an internal parameter that tweaks how deterministic they behave.

Re: Claude Opus 4.6 accuracy on BridgeBench hallucination test drops from 83% to 68%

#5
post #2

Because the website doesn't seem to show any sample size of runs, I assume they ran it once across the suite. The models are nondeterministic, and therefore it's pretty normal for different runs to give different results. I don't see this as evidence that Opus 4.6 has gotten worse.

> The models are nondeterministic, and therefore it's pretty normal for different runs to give different results.

And how is that an excuse?

I don't care about how good a model could be. I care about how good a model was on my run.

Consequently, my opinion on a model is going to be based around its worst performance, not its best.

As such, this qualifies as strong evidence that Opus 4.6 has gotten worse.

Re: Claude Opus 4.6 accuracy on BridgeBench hallucination test drops from 83% to 68%

#6
post #4
post #3

Earlier quoted context omitted.

are models really non deterministic?

Yes. Look up LLM "temperature" - it's an internal parameter that tweaks how deterministic they behave.

The models are deterministic, the inference is not.

Re: Claude Opus 4.6 accuracy on BridgeBench hallucination test drops from 83% to 68%

#7
post #6
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes. Look up LLM "temperature" - it's an internal parameter that tweaks how deterministic they behave.

The models are deterministic, the inference is not.

What does that even mean?

Even then, depending on the specific implementation, associativity of floating point could be an issue between batch sizes, between exactly how KV cache is implemented, etc.

Re: Claude Opus 4.6 accuracy on BridgeBench hallucination test drops from 83% to 68%

#8
post #3
post #2

Because the website doesn't seem to show any sample size of runs, I assume they ran it once across the suite. The models are nondeterministic, and therefore it's pretty normal for different runs to give different results. I don't see this as evidence that Opus 4.6 has gotten worse.

are models really non deterministic?

People are describing the results when they say models are non-deterministic. Give it the same exact input twice, and you'll get two different outputs. Deterministic would mean the same input always gives the same output.

Re: Claude Opus 4.6 accuracy on BridgeBench hallucination test drops from 83% to 68%

#9
post #7
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The models are deterministic, the inference is not.

What does that even mean? Even then, depending on the specific implementation, associativity of floating point could be an issue between batch sizes, between exactly how KV cache is implemented, etc.

That's still an inference time issue. If you have perfect inference with a zero temperature, the models are deterministic. There is no intrinsic randomness in software-only computing.

Re: Claude Opus 4.6 accuracy on BridgeBench hallucination test drops from 83% to 68%

#10
post #2

Because the website doesn't seem to show any sample size of runs, I assume they ran it once across the suite. The models are nondeterministic, and therefore it's pretty normal for different runs to give different results. I don't see this as evidence that Opus 4.6 has gotten worse.

I would love to know what you’re doing in the harness to not feel the total degradation in experience now in comparison to December & January.
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