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Every Reason Why I Hate AI and You Should Too

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Re: Every Reason Why I Hate AI and You Should Too

#2
I'm on the image and video side of AI.

I see the claims being levied against LLMs, but in the generative media world these models are nothing short of revolutionary.

In addition to being an engineer, I'm also a filmmaker. This tech has so many orders of magnitude changes to the production cycle:

- Films can be made 5,000x cheaper (a $100M Disney film will be matched by small studios on budgets of $20,000.)

- Films can be made 5x faster (end-to-end, not accounting for human labor hour savings. A 15 month production could feasibly be done in 3 months.)

- Films can be made with 100x fewer people. (Studios of the future will be 1-20 people.)

Disney and Netflix are going to be facing a ton of disruptive pressure. It'll be interesting to see how they navigate.

Advertising and marketing? We've already seen ads on TV that were made over a weekend [1] for a few thousand dollars. I've talked to customers that are bidding $30k for pharmaceutical ad spots they used to bid $300k for. And the cost reductions are just beginning.

[1] https://www.npr.org/2025/06/23/nx-s1-5432712/ai-video-ad-kal...

Re: Every Reason Why I Hate AI and You Should Too

#3
post #2

I'm on the image and video side of AI. I see the claims being levied against LLMs, but in the generative media world these models are nothing short of revolutionary. In addition to being an engineer, I'm also a filmmaker. This tech has so many orders of magnitude changes to the production cycle: - Films can be made 5,000x cheaper (a $100M Disney film will be matched by small studios on budgets of $20,000.) - Films ca…

>a $100M Disney film will be matched by small studios on budgets of $20,000

I do not believe this is true.

Re: Every Reason Why I Hate AI and You Should Too

#4
post #2

I'm on the image and video side of AI. I see the claims being levied against LLMs, but in the generative media world these models are nothing short of revolutionary. In addition to being an engineer, I'm also a filmmaker. This tech has so many orders of magnitude changes to the production cycle: - Films can be made 5,000x cheaper (a $100M Disney film will be matched by small studios on budgets of $20,000.) - Films ca…

there is a very strong implicit claim in what you're saying: that AI video output is usefully comparable to human output

Re: Every Reason Why I Hate AI and You Should Too

#5
post #2

I'm on the image and video side of AI. I see the claims being levied against LLMs, but in the generative media world these models are nothing short of revolutionary. In addition to being an engineer, I'm also a filmmaker. This tech has so many orders of magnitude changes to the production cycle: - Films can be made 5,000x cheaper (a $100M Disney film will be matched by small studios on budgets of $20,000.) - Films ca…

I agree the impact on generative media is huge. But I also do not think anyone is making a $100m-equivalent film for $20k anytime soon. Disprove me by doing it!

Re: Every Reason Why I Hate AI and You Should Too

#6
post #2

I'm on the image and video side of AI. I see the claims being levied against LLMs, but in the generative media world these models are nothing short of revolutionary. In addition to being an engineer, I'm also a filmmaker. This tech has so many orders of magnitude changes to the production cycle: - Films can be made 5,000x cheaper (a $100M Disney film will be matched by small studios on budgets of $20,000.) - Films ca…

5000x is hilarious (as is 5x and 100x). When you make outlandish claims, at least provide a reference or analysis.

Re: Every Reason Why I Hate AI and You Should Too

#7
"Yet, every time I tried to get LLMs to perform novel research, they fail because they don’t have access to existing literature on the topic. Whereas, humans, on the other hand, discovered everything humanity knows."

Just because the author was unable to wrangle LLM to do novel research doesn't mean that it's impossible. We already have examples of LLMs either doing or aiding significantly with novel research.

Re: Every Reason Why I Hate AI and You Should Too

#8
post #2

I'm on the image and video side of AI. I see the claims being levied against LLMs, but in the generative media world these models are nothing short of revolutionary. In addition to being an engineer, I'm also a filmmaker. This tech has so many orders of magnitude changes to the production cycle: - Films can be made 5,000x cheaper (a $100M Disney film will be matched by small studios on budgets of $20,000.) - Films ca…

> customers that are bidding $30k for pharmaceutical ad spots they used to bid $300k for

How does this work? If the quality ads are easier to produce, wouldn't there be more competition for the same spot with more leftover money for bidding? Why would this situation reduce the cost of a spot?

Re: Every Reason Why I Hate AI and You Should Too

#10
post #6
post #2

I'm on the image and video side of AI. I see the claims being levied against LLMs, but in the generative media world these models are nothing short of revolutionary. In addition to being an engineer, I'm also a filmmaker. This tech has so many orders of magnitude changes to the production cycle: - Films can be made 5,000x cheaper (a $100M Disney film will be matched by small studios on budgets of $20,000.) - Films ca…

5000x is hilarious (as is 5x and 100x). When you make outlandish claims, at least provide a reference or analysis.

5000x if you ignore the electricity bill ;)
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