Why my p(doom) has risen, dramatically
garymarcus.substack.com
Why my p(doom) has risen, dramatically
1–10 of 42 posts
Re: Why my p(doom) has risen, dramatically
#2I don't think Elon has any malice towards his own species. I tend to agree with the first comment on the article, re: p(dystopia), where almost all LLM services are currently in play, mostly due to the actions of third party clients.
Re: Why my p(doom) has risen, dramatically
#3Gary Marcus has a dichotomy between extinction versus bad actors. I feel a third possibiltiy is much more likely: a world of extreme specialization where AI reigns supreme, and where humans are mainly button-pushers. Those at the top and who still enjoy life will be the techies who are good at and enjoy making things with AI, which will be approximately 1% of the population. The other 99% will be administrators, button-pushers, and those on UBI who have a fairly meaningless existence without much dignity.
Because once 99% of the population lose the opportunity to at least learn a skill that they are good at, and (Importantly!!) for which they have some aptitude over others, and apply it, then they will face an existence of very little meaning. Like it or not, people want to be distinguishable from others, and if everyone can do everything with AI, then that disappears.
Techies don't like to admit it because they are at the top, but through AI, they are creating their own bubble world with their little toys that will act through the immense power of AI as an oligarchy that rules the listless and depressed masses.
A rather contemptible existence, in my opinion.
Re: Why my p(doom) has risen, dramatically
#4I don't think Elon has any malice towards his own species. I tend to agree with the first comment on the article, re: p(dystopia), where almost all LLM services are currently in play, mostly due to the actions of third party clients.
Why not? I think a lot of people with traits like Musk would make us completely subservient without any freedom if he had the technology and opportunity to do so.
Re: Why my p(doom) has risen, dramatically
#5I don't think Elon has any malice towards his own species. I tend to agree with the first comment on the article, re: p(dystopia), where almost all LLM services are currently in play, mostly due to the actions of third party clients.
Given he's engaged in mass murder that's severely destabilizing a significant chunk of the planet (through his unconstitutional culling of USAID among other things), it doesn't seem unreasonable to attribute his behavior to malice.
Re: Why my p(doom) has risen, dramatically
#6Gary Marcus has a dichotomy between extinction versus bad actors. I feel a third possibiltiy is much more likely: a world of extreme specialization where AI reigns supreme, and where humans are mainly button-pushers. Those at the top and who still enjoy life will be the techies who are good at and enjoy making things with AI, which will be approximately 1% of the population. The other 99% will be administrators, butt…
Essentially, the empettment of people vs their enslavement.
Re: Why my p(doom) has risen, dramatically
#7I don't think Elon has any malice towards his own species. I tend to agree with the first comment on the article, re: p(dystopia), where almost all LLM services are currently in play, mostly due to the actions of third party clients.
Lolwhat?
He’s literally called for jailing and worse of people with progressive ideas. Either he’s a junky who is so high he doesn’t know what he’s saying, or he’s an evil piece of white shit. (I consider “edgelord doing it for the lulz” to be the second category.)
Re: Why my p(doom) has risen, dramatically
#8Seems like all the p(doom) is coming from Elon himself, and not the AI. An "empowered" but unintelligent "stochastic parrot", which seems to be his view of LLMs, is more likely to hinder than help with one's plan for world domination and annihilation.
Re: Why my p(doom) has risen, dramatically
#9I don't think Elon has any malice towards his own species. I tend to agree with the first comment on the article, re: p(dystopia), where almost all LLM services are currently in play, mostly due to the actions of third party clients.
Why not? I think a lot of people with traits like Musk would make us completely subservient without any freedom if he had the technology and opportunity to do so.
The article is talking about actual, literal, species-level extinction. Like, no humans left. That's the sort of "malice towards the species" meant here.
> a lot of people with traits like Musk would make us completely subservient without any freedom
That would be the "dystopia" the person you replied to mentioned.
Re: Why my p(doom) has risen, dramatically
#10p(doom) is 100% and it's silly to think it's anything less.
As soon as anyone figures out how to build SI, all it takes is one person to run off with the secret sauce and build a malevolent version of it.