The Gentle Singularity
blog.samaltman.com
The Gentle Singularity
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Re: The Gentle Singularity
#2> " I hope we will look at the jobs a thousand years in the future and think they are very fake jobs, and I have no doubt they will feel incredibly important and satisfying to the people doing them."
So when AGI comes, I am curious what the new jobs are?
I see that prompt engineer is one of the jobs created because it's the way to ask a LLM certain tasks, but now AI can do this too.
I'm thinking that any new jobs AI would make, AI would just take them anyway.
Are there new jobs coming from this abundance that is on the horizon?
Re: The Gentle Singularity
#3> The least-likely part of the work is behind us; the scientific insights that got us to systems like GPT-4 and o3 were hard-won, but will take us very far.
> 2026 will likely see the arrival of systems that can figure out novel insights
Interesting the level of confidence compared to recent comments by Sundar [1]. Satya [2] also is a bit more reserved in his optimism.
[1] https://www.windowscentral.com/software-apps/google-ceo-agi-...
[2] https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intell...
Re: The Gentle Singularity
#4> the scientific insights that got us to systems like GPT-4 and o3 were hard-won, but will take us very far.
Does anyone know if there are well established scaling laws for reasoning models similar to chinchilla scaling. (i.e. is the above claim valid?)
Re: The Gentle Singularity
#5> " I hope we will look at the jobs a thousand years in the future and think they are very fake jobs, and I have no doubt they will feel incredibly important and satisfying to the people doing them." So when AGI comes, I am curious what the new jobs are? I see that prompt engineer is one of the jobs created because it's the way to ask a LLM certain tasks, but now AI can do this too. I'm thinking that any new jobs AI…
My guess is more gig jobs working for the agents and their masters.
Re: The Gentle Singularity
#6> The least-likely part of the work is behind us; the scientific insights that got us to systems like GPT-4 and o3 were hard-won, but will take us very far. > 2026 will likely see the arrival of systems that can figure out novel insights Interesting the level of confidence compared to recent comments by Sundar [1]. Satya [2] also is a bit more reserved in his optimism. [1] https://www.windowscentral.com/software-apps…
> Interesting the level of confidence compared to recent comments by Sundar [1]. Satya [2] also is a bit more reserved in his optimism.
well yeah, you can't continue the ponzi scheme if you say "aw shit, it's gonna take another 10 years"
Microsoft/Google will continue to exist without, OpenAI won't
Re: The Gentle Singularity
#7> " I hope we will look at the jobs a thousand years in the future and think they are very fake jobs, and I have no doubt they will feel incredibly important and satisfying to the people doing them." So when AGI comes, I am curious what the new jobs are? I see that prompt engineer is one of the jobs created because it's the way to ask a LLM certain tasks, but now AI can do this too. I'm thinking that any new jobs AI…
Body shoveling but a robot can do that too
Re: The Gentle Singularity
#8> " I hope we will look at the jobs a thousand years in the future and think they are very fake jobs, and I have no doubt they will feel incredibly important and satisfying to the people doing them." So when AGI comes, I am curious what the new jobs are? I see that prompt engineer is one of the jobs created because it's the way to ask a LLM certain tasks, but now AI can do this too. I'm thinking that any new jobs AI…
In the limit where robots finally invent a fusion reactor that works with some luck they’ll treat us as zoo animals and keep us fed and entertained. That’s the best case scenario.
Re: The Gentle Singularity
#9> " I hope we will look at the jobs a thousand years in the future and think they are very fake jobs, and I have no doubt they will feel incredibly important and satisfying to the people doing them." So when AGI comes, I am curious what the new jobs are? I see that prompt engineer is one of the jobs created because it's the way to ask a LLM certain tasks, but now AI can do this too. I'm thinking that any new jobs AI…
My most optimistic side says expanded elder care, community organization, nature care and cleaning, creative expression.
Re: The Gentle Singularity
#10"superintelligence research company"