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Terence Tao on O1

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Re: Terence Tao on O1

#3
"with even the latest tools the effort put in to get the model to produce useful output is still some multiple (but not an enormous multiple now, say 2x to 5x) of the effort needed to properly prompt and verify the output. However, I see no reason to prevent this ratio from falling below 1x in a few years, which I think could be a tipping point for broader adoption of these tools in my field"

Given the log scale on compute to improve performance, it is not a guarantee that the ratio can be improved so much in a few years

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#4
The novelty to me is that the “The experience seemed roughly on par with trying to advise a mediocre, but not completely incompetent, graduate student.” in so many subject areas! I have found great value in using LLMs to sort things out. In areas where I am very experienced it can be really helpful at tons of small chores. Like Terrence was pointing out in his third experiment — if you break the problem down it does solid work filling in smaller blanks. You need the conceptual understanding. Part of this is prompting skill. If you go into an area you don’t know you have to try and build the prompts up. Dive into something small and specific and work outward if the answer is known. Start specific and focused if starting from the outside in. I have used this to cut through conceptual layers of very complex topics I have zero knowledge in and then verify my concepts via experts on YT/research papers/trusted sources. It is an amazing tool.

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#5
Once GPT is tuned more heavily on Lean (proof assistant) -- the way it is on Python -- I expect its usefulness for research level math to increase.

I work in a field related to operations research (OR), and ChatGPT 4o has ingested enough of the OR literature that it's able to spit out very useful Mixed Integer Programming (MIP) formulations for many "problem shapes". For instance, I can give it a logic problem like "i need to put i items in n buckets based on a score, but I want to fill each bucket sequentially" and it actually spits out a very usable math formulation. I usually just need to tweak it a bit. It also warns against weak formulations where the logic might fail, which is tremendously useful for avoiding pitfalls. Compare this to the old way, which is to rack my brain over a weekend to figure out a water-tight formulation of MIP optimization problem (which is often not straightforward for non-intuitive problems). GPT has saved me so much time in this corner of my world.

Yes, you probably wouldn't be able to use ChatGPT well for this purpose unless you understood MIP optimization in the first place -- and you do need to break down the problem into smaller chunks so GPT can reason in steps -- but for someone who can and does, the $20/month I pay for ChatGPT more than pays for itself.

side: a lot of people who complain on HN that (paid/good - only Sonnet 3.5 and GPT4o are in this category) LLMs are useless to them probably (1) do not know how to use LLMs in way that maximizes their strengths; (2) have expectations that are too high based on the hype, expecting one-shot magic bullets. (3) LLMs are really not good for their domain. But many of the low-effort comments seem to mostly fall into (1) and (2) -- cynicism rather than cautious optimism.

Many of us who have discovered how to exploit LLMs in their areas of strength -- and know how to check for their mistakes -- often find them providing significant leverage in our work.

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#7
post #2

I wonder how long it took for each of the responses it gave

It varies a lot. If it's a simple question, it just does 3-4 sections of "thinking & reflection" but for more complicated ones I think I've seen something like 10 or more. Maybe 3-4 seconds per section on average I'd guess.

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#8

The novelty to me is that the “The experience seemed roughly on par with trying to advise a mediocre, but not completely incompetent, graduate student.” in so many subject areas! I have found great value in using LLMs to sort things out. In areas where I am very experienced it can be really helpful at tons of small chores. Like Terrence was pointing out in his third experiment — if you break the problem down it does…

This has been my experience as well. I treat LLMs like an intern or junior who can do the legwork that I have no bandwidth to do myself. I have to supervise it and help it along, checking for mistakes, but I do get useful results in the end.

Attitudinally, I suspect people who have had experience supervising interns or mentoring juniors are probably those who are able to get value out of LLMs (paid ones - free ones are no good) rather than grizzled lone individual contributors -- I myself have been in this camp for most of my early career -- who don't know how to coax value out of people.

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#9
I checked the links and I think it's amazing and it answers with Latex formatted notation.

But I was curious and I asked something very simple, Euclid's first postulate and I got this answer:

Euclid's Postulate 1: "Through any two points, there is exactly one straight line."

In fact Euclid's Postulate 1 is "To draw a straight line from any point to any point." http://aleph0.clarku.edu/~djoyce/java/elements/bookI/bookI.h...

I think AI answer is not correct, it may be some textbook interpretation but I was expecting Euclid's exact wording.

Edit: Google's Gemini gives the exact wording of the postulate and then comments that this means that you can draw one line bitween two points. I think this is better

Re: Terence Tao on O1

#10
post #8

The novelty to me is that the “The experience seemed roughly on par with trying to advise a mediocre, but not completely incompetent, graduate student.” in so many subject areas! I have found great value in using LLMs to sort things out. In areas where I am very experienced it can be really helpful at tons of small chores. Like Terrence was pointing out in his third experiment — if you break the problem down it does…

This has been my experience as well. I treat LLMs like an intern or junior who can do the legwork that I have no bandwidth to do myself. I have to supervise it and help it along, checking for mistakes, but I do get useful results in the end. Attitudinally, I suspect people who have had experience supervising interns or mentoring juniors are probably those who are able to get value out of LLMs (paid ones - free ones a…

> ... that I have no bandwidth to do myself.

One of the most interesting aspects of this thread is how it brings us back to the fundamentals of attention in machine learning [1]. This is a key point: while humans have intelligence, our attention is inherently limited. This is why the concept behind Attention Is All You Need [2] is so relevant to what we're discussing.

My 2 cents: our human intelligence is the glue that binds everything together.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Attention_(machine_learning)

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Attention_Is_All_You_Need

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