Quantum Resistance and the Signal Protocol
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Re: Quantum Resistance and the Signal Protocol
#2If current quantum computers were scaled up to more qubits, could they break modern crypto? Or would we need both more qubits and a new quantum computer architecture?
Re: Quantum Resistance and the Signal Protocol
#3Super cool. If current quantum computers were scaled up to more qubits, could they break modern crypto? Or would we need both more qubits and a new quantum computer architecture?
I wonder how possible it is that IBM could have already gone further and are already cracking modern crypto in secret, e.g. funded by the NSA. Is that a crazy conspiracy idea, or actually a possibility?
Re: Quantum Resistance and the Signal Protocol
#4Super cool. If current quantum computers were scaled up to more qubits, could they break modern crypto? Or would we need both more qubits and a new quantum computer architecture?
15 was factorised on a 7 qbit computer by IBM, so yes, they could break RSA if scaled up. I'm not sure about elliptic curve. That was over 20 years ago: https://research.ibm.com/blog/factor-15-shors-algorithm I wonder how possible it is that IBM could have already gone further and are already cracking modern crypto in secret, e.g. funded by the NSA. Is that a crazy conspiracy idea, or actually a possibility?
I am investing in IBM under the assumption that this is an actual possibility. Their public QC roadmap actually looks like a realistic journey now.
I strongly believe that the NSA, et. al. currently have access to a very powerful quantum computer - likely constructed by IBM under contract.
The game theory around this is such that it is impossible for me to accept that there are zero secret quantum computers in existence by now. There is too much to lose by not playing that game as hard as you can.
Re: Quantum Resistance and the Signal Protocol
#5Re: Quantum Resistance and the Signal Protocol
#6Re: Quantum Resistance and the Signal Protocol
#7Super cool. If current quantum computers were scaled up to more qubits, could they break modern crypto? Or would we need both more qubits and a new quantum computer architecture?
That depends on what you mean by "scaled up". There is a concept of "Quantum Volume" that exists, which basically means the depth of the longest qubit circuit you can pull off.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantum_volume
'Simply' (it's never simple ;) ) adding qubits to a machine does not necessarily increase its Quantum Volume. Decreasing the noise typically will.
However, there is a threshold at which point you can scale up mostly indefinitely. This is what the whole Quantum Error Correction is all about.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantum_error_correction
There is a paper
https://arxiv.org/abs/1905.09749
That goes into a clear discussion of how to build a quantum computer and the associated thresholds that would allow you to do so. There is a minimum number of qubits needed (that work perfectly), but the paper analyzes how many qubits you'd need under realistic assumptions about how many noisy qubits you'd need to get error correcting qubits at the needed reliability.
Re: Quantum Resistance and the Signal Protocol
#8Earlier quoted context omitted.
15 was factorised on a 7 qbit computer by IBM, so yes, they could break RSA if scaled up. I'm not sure about elliptic curve. That was over 20 years ago: https://research.ibm.com/blog/factor-15-shors-algorithm I wonder how possible it is that IBM could have already gone further and are already cracking modern crypto in secret, e.g. funded by the NSA. Is that a crazy conspiracy idea, or actually a possibility?
> Is that a crazy conspiracy idea, or actually a possibility? I am investing in IBM under the assumption that this is an actual possibility. Their public QC roadmap actually looks like a realistic journey now. I strongly believe that the NSA, et. al. currently have access to a very powerful quantum computer - likely constructed by IBM under contract. The game theory around this is such that it is impossible for me to…
(I deleted my previous edit because I had misread part of what you wrote.)
Re: Quantum Resistance and the Signal Protocol
#9Re: Quantum Resistance and the Signal Protocol
#10Actively resisting future attackers and hardware is an incredibly forward-thinking thing to do, bravo. How long into the future is an achievable and desirable duration for encryption (barring any rapid, unforeseen paradigm shift)? If ten years is acceptable for declassification of standard documents in the US, is this a reasonable target for day to day signal chats?