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Trend implies Chrome to overtake IE in browser share in one year.

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Re: Trend implies Chrome to overtake IE in browser share in one year.

#2
Obligatory XKCD: http://xkcd.com/605/ "As you can see, by late next month you'll have over four dozen husbands. Better get bulk rate on that wedding cake."

IMNSHO, the adoption of IE9 (on new computers with Win7 preinstalled, perhaps?) might make a significant dent in that projection. I've seen a very similar graph (starring Firefox) a few years back; and then IE came back from the dead with version 8.

Re: Trend implies Chrome to overtake IE in browser share in one year.

#3
post #2

Obligatory XKCD: http://xkcd.com/605/ "As you can see, by late next month you'll have over four dozen husbands. Better get bulk rate on that wedding cake." IMNSHO, the adoption of IE9 (on new computers with Win7 preinstalled, perhaps?) might make a significant dent in that projection. I've seen a very similar graph (starring Firefox) a few years back; and then IE came back from the dead with version 8.

Yeah, and there's always someone in April who's on pace to hit 80 home runs for the season. That said, I think the trend toward Chrome, and webkit browsers in general, is undeniable.

Re: Trend implies Chrome to overtake IE in browser share in one year.

#4
post #2

Obligatory XKCD: http://xkcd.com/605/ "As you can see, by late next month you'll have over four dozen husbands. Better get bulk rate on that wedding cake." IMNSHO, the adoption of IE9 (on new computers with Win7 preinstalled, perhaps?) might make a significant dent in that projection. I've seen a very similar graph (starring Firefox) a few years back; and then IE came back from the dead with version 8.

Yeah, and there's always someone in April who's on pace to hit 80 home runs for the season. That said, I think the trend toward Chrome, and webkit browsers in general, is undeniable.

Linear extrapolation in general is unwise, but with market share it is particularly foolish. I'd bet the opposite, that the gap between the two browsers takes longer than a year to vanish.

Re: Trend implies Chrome to overtake IE in browser share in one year.

#6
Who cares? Whatever browser is the market leader doesn't matter because you will still need to support IE, Chrome, Firefox and Safari for the foreseeable future. Nobody has ever made a (significant) profit from a browser. In fact, Microsoft lost billions for their efforts (see U.S. vs. MSFT).

Can someone please explain to me why this matters?

Re: Trend implies Chrome to overtake IE in browser share in one year.

#8
post #6

Who cares? Whatever browser is the market leader doesn't matter because you will still need to support IE, Chrome, Firefox and Safari for the foreseeable future. Nobody has ever made a (significant) profit from a browser. In fact, Microsoft lost billions for their efforts (see U.S. vs. MSFT). Can someone please explain to me why this matters?

If Chrome is the market leader, you have a viable argument for not supporting IE at all. Or at least making it a low priority.

Re: Trend implies Chrome to overtake IE in browser share in one year.

#9
post #6

Who cares? Whatever browser is the market leader doesn't matter because you will still need to support IE, Chrome, Firefox and Safari for the foreseeable future. Nobody has ever made a (significant) profit from a browser. In fact, Microsoft lost billions for their efforts (see U.S. vs. MSFT). Can someone please explain to me why this matters?

In terms of affecting what devs need to do, it doesn't matter. However, if it happens (and it's a big if), it would certainly be noteworthy, because it will cement html standards-compliance.

As you say, you need to support IE, Chrome, FF and Safari - but (at least for IE If you don't see this as a significant thing, then I'm guessing you're too young to have been coding web pages when IE had a 90%+ market share. You kids have it easy. :-)

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