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Indian state proposes two-child policy, stringent measures for violators

economictimes.indiatimes.com

1–10 of 70 posts

Re: Indian state proposes two-child policy, stringent measures for violators

#2
I can't read the article, so I'm just replying to the concept.

I don't see a problem with this at all. Overpopulation may be the most important issue of our lifetime. I'm not a fan of excessive government control, but incentivizing low birthrates is our only hope of saving the environment.

Re: Indian state proposes two-child policy, stringent measures for violators

#5
India's fertility rate has already fell to about 2.2 children per woman (in 2021). That's already replacement rate.

India is one of the few countries with a favorable demographic future right now. The United States and France are also doing ok too (with immigration).

But most of Europe and Asia (especially China, Singapore, South Korea and Japan) are facing huge problems: a halving of the population from its peak. And more importantly than the total number of people is the demographic pyramid structure is lost and is difficult to rebuild without a big baby boom (unlikely to happen in those countries).

For India to become a superpower in 2100 (no guarantees it will be) it shouldn't ruin its demographic outlook (like China famously did).

Re: Indian state proposes two-child policy, stringent measures for violators

#6

I am wondering how can they enforce it in just one state. I can just cross state lines to have a 3rd child.

Presumably if you ever came back to the original state where 2+ are banned, they'd eventually figure out that you have a third child, no?

Re: Indian state proposes two-child policy, stringent measures for violators

#7
post #2

I can't read the article, so I'm just replying to the concept. I don't see a problem with this at all. Overpopulation may be the most important issue of our lifetime. I'm not a fan of excessive government control, but incentivizing low birthrates is our only hope of saving the environment.

Maybe try blocking some JS, it loaded fine for me and I don't pay for it (I block third party JS by default and didn't need to whitelist anything).

The incentives/disincentives don't seem nice to me, rewarding 'voluntary sterilisation'...

I suppose I agree in general the concept of such policies is.. ok... But I don't think any rewards or penalties should be based on anything permanent. Even as proposed it's only running until 2030, but people will make irreversible life altering decisions based on it, I don't know, just doesn't seem nice to me.

Re: Indian state proposes two-child policy, stringent measures for violators

#9
post #2

I can't read the article, so I'm just replying to the concept. I don't see a problem with this at all. Overpopulation may be the most important issue of our lifetime. I'm not a fan of excessive government control, but incentivizing low birthrates is our only hope of saving the environment.

Hard disagree. Birth rates are at their lowest throughout the developed world. In some cases, it’s below the replacement level. The developing world’s birth rate is also dropping as those regions become more developed (China for example, which recently switched to incentivizing additional children).

Re: Indian state proposes two-child policy, stringent measures for violators

#10

I am wondering how can they enforce it in just one state. I can just cross state lines to have a 3rd child.

The dis/incentives are based on welfare and local goverment pensions within that state.

They're not proposing 'enforcing' it at all, 'just' disincentivising it; which will equally affect people moving into that state regardless of whether they were before they had a third child or not.

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