Live data from Hacker News

Lifetime Earnings in the United States over Six Decades

bfi.uchicago.edu

1–10 of 76 posts

Re: Lifetime Earnings in the United States over Six Decades

#6
I was hoping to see how much people earn in their lifetime. And how that changed over time.

I was wondering the other day other how many years are high earners are actually earning a very high income. In-equality wise it is very different if people in the 2 percentile of income stay there for a decade or more or if they are in that income bracket only for a few years while doing a specific job and drop down to lower income again when they change their job.

Assuming for instance an average work-life of 40 years (25-65), and anyone in the 2 percentile income bracket stays there only for 5 years, that means 16% of the population will be high-income at some point in their life (and stay there for 5 years), or up to 32% of households. This means that in this scenario up to a third of the population (maybe more if kids are taken into account?) would benefit sooner or later from an exceptional boost in disposable income.

That picture would be very different if high-earners stayed high earners for a longer time as they would truly form an elite that is clearly separated in income wealth from the rest of the population.

Obviously what you do with this income determines a lot about your actual wealth. So this is a different question than how absolute wealth is distributed.

I would be very much interested in pointers towards data and/or studies about how runaway elite incomes actually are in different parts of the world.

Re: Lifetime Earnings in the United States over Six Decades

#7

Can someone explain the y-axis for lifetime earnings? 45k seems low for lifetime earnings in 2013 dollars.

From the article:

> Note: Each observation represents the median earnings of men of a particular age in a particular year. For example, the 1957 cohort is represented by an Age 25 observation in 1957

Re: Lifetime Earnings in the United States over Six Decades

#8
Is there any explanation for why in Figure 4, the aggregate line is so much higher than the two lines that are supposed to the same thing for the two groups that the population described by the aggregate line neatly partitions into?

EDIT: I may have answered that to myself by drawing some income distribution curves. I guess it's a plausible outcome if the P90 for "all" is closer to the male P90 while the P10 is closer to the female P10 with the two curves being significantly different (which is increasingly the case as one goes to the past).

Re: Lifetime Earnings in the United States over Six Decades

#9

Can someone explain the y-axis for lifetime earnings? 45k seems low for lifetime earnings in 2013 dollars.

Chart 1 doesn't make sense to me. It seems everything else is about the median YEARLY earnings, and the word lifetime in the context of this doesn't make sense. Maybe it means the median yearly wage for each individual? Like if I worked exactly 3 years in my entire life and I made 25k at 25, 40k at 40, 60k at 60, my median earnings would be 40k. That's the only way I can make sense of that.

Re: Lifetime Earnings in the United States over Six Decades

#10

It's great to see the gains women are making.

It just means it's now harder for families to make it on a single income that used to be the responsibility of the father. This drives wages lower as we're seeing and makes it harder on everyone.
Post reply on HN