How many years left until 100 vaccination doses per 100 people?
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How many years left until 100 vaccination doses per 100 people?
1–10 of 12 posts
Re: How many years left until 100 vaccination doses per 100 people?
#2It would be interesting to see this calculation using the second derivative rather than the first.
Vaccination rate (vaccines given per day) continues to increase in the data I've seen so it does not make sense to extrapolate using only the rate from the last 2 weeks.
Re: How many years left until 100 vaccination doses per 100 people?
#3New Zealand is at the bottom of the non-infinite list at 1849 years 7 months, but also has few cases.
Re: How many years left until 100 vaccination doses per 100 people?
#4It would be interesting to see this calculation using the second derivative rather than the first. Vaccination rate (vaccines given per day) continues to increase in the data I've seen so it does not make sense to extrapolate using only the rate from the last 2 weeks.
It’s not always true, in uk it actually declined a lot in the last week compared to the two previous weeks.
Re: How many years left until 100 vaccination doses per 100 people?
#5Really we need 200 Vaccination doses per 100 people.
And long term, maybe more than that.
Re: How many years left until 100 vaccination doses per 100 people?
#6It does not include people who got vaccinated natural way: being infected with real virus!
Re: How many years left until 100 vaccination doses per 100 people?
#7The title wording seems a bit weird, but I suspect it's because most vaccines need 2 doses
So 100 doses per 100 people may mean 100% of people with the first dose, or some combination of people with 0, 1 or 2 doses
Re: How many years left until 100 vaccination doses per 100 people?
#8Japan 962 years 8 months
Yeah! We’ll get there.
Re: How many years left until 100 vaccination doses per 100 people?
#9Really we need 200 Vaccination doses per 100 people. And long term, maybe more than that.
Herd immunity kicks in somewhere less than 100% vaccinated (should start seeing some numbers coming out of Israel in the next few months). A sizeable percentage of the population has had Covid already and therefore has some level of natural immunity (not full, but better than nothing). Furthermore, kids have been shown to spread it less (and we're not vaccinating them currently, reducing the population 20-25%). So all that said, 100/100 is a pretty good short-term target. Yeah - we can and should do better in the long term, but ~100 should get us into a sustained decline (but not eradication - to your point about requiring more long term).
Re: How many years left until 100 vaccination doses per 100 people?
#10It does not include people who got vaccinated natural way: being infected with real virus!
Even people previously infected are being offered the vaccine, but there are currently studies as to whether those previously infected may only need 1 dose so that the second dose may be used on someone else.