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Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’

news.harvard.edu

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Re: Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’

#5
Yesterday I submitted this but it didn't get many upvotes..

https://towardsdatascience.com/modelling-the-coronavirus-epi...

I think that reached this point is obvious that in our hyperconnected cities a containment is going to be very difficult if the R0 is 3+ and we don't shutdown commuting

PS: for those interested in real-time info from experts I recommended following:

  https://twitter.com/DrEricDing
  https://twitter.com/MackayIM
  https://twitter.com/trvrb

Re: Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’

#6
>But there is some evidence — and we’re working on quantifying it — that coronaviruses do transmit less efficiently in the warmer weather. So it’s possible that we will get some help from that, but I don’t think that will solve the problem, as evidenced by the fact that there’s transmission in Singapore, on the equator.

There have been several research about seasonal influenza and how it correlates with weather, like temperature but especially humidity

https://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article?id=10.1371/jou...

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S01634...

https://academic.oup.com/aje/article/173/2/127/99316

Re: Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’

#7
post #4

It's now officially named COVID-19 by the WHO.

Despite that, I think it’s too late to rename this virus. People have called it “coronavirus” for weeks now and the name will likely stick, correct or not.

Its actually been novel coronavirus, since day one.

Re: Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’

#8
post #6

>But there is some evidence — and we’re working on quantifying it — that coronaviruses do transmit less efficiently in the warmer weather. So it’s possible that we will get some help from that, but I don’t think that will solve the problem, as evidenced by the fact that there’s transmission in Singapore, on the equator. There have been several research about seasonal influenza and how it correlates with weather, like…

Singapore is having 30ºC days, yet the epidemic is progressing and the city is already bracing for the worse...

Re: Coronavirus outbreak likely now ‘gathering steam’

#10
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Despite that, I think it’s too late to rename this virus. People have called it “coronavirus” for weeks now and the name will likely stick, correct or not.

Its actually been novel coronavirus, since day one.

People have been calling it coronavirus since day one.
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