Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
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Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
1–10 of 462 posts
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#2Some of those are really funny, but the one by adw nailed it.
>adw on Jan 1, 2010 [-]
>Network analysis and data mining will claim their first major political scalp.
>That'll be a watershed moment: the politics of information are going to start being the kind of core liberal issue that environmental issues currently are.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#3What a fun read! The one that ended up being the most off in the thread:
> I predict (and hope for) a major turn back to simplicity in technologies. Multimillion-line software will go extinct like dinosaurs. Existing programming languages and platforms will gradually be replaced with ones so simple and elegant that one software component will be written and maintained by one to three developers and art designers and not a whole software company packed with managers and other unnecessary staff. Oh, and managers along with poeple who "understand" "software business" but not software will hopefully go extinct too.
If I can predict anything for 2030 based on this, it will be software being even more complex, with even more frameworks and abstractions.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#4A lot of doom and gloom for Microsoft in that thread. But Microsoft has fared much better than anyone expected.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#5IsaacL nailed it the best
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1027093
And surprisingly the WoW one is the most off :D
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#6Where is the thread for this decade?
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#7> motters on Jan 1, 2010 [-]
> Also, this decade sees the beginning of the "pension bomb" - the demographic bulge of post-war baby boomers crossing the threshold into retirement. It's fairly easy to predict that there will be pensions scandals, with some pensions companies going bust or paying out far less to recipients than had been originally advertised. Also I predict the beginning of large supermarket scale retirement homes/complexes/compounds, where economies of scale can reduce costs of elder care.
Both predictions were 100% correct. Many pensions were cut dramatically or eliminated. AMR is one that comes to mind immediately, but the pension benefit corp could only do so much for many others. Also, this problem now seems like an imminent problem for many companies and public entities. This is only going to get worse.
The Villages in Ocala, FL fit the second point, and I'm confident other places exist like it.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#8Oh man this is fun. So many prediction we blew past and so many have had 0 progress.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#9Reading this made me a bit sad. So many people were optimistic, and many predicted exciting things... but few if any of that happened.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#10A lot of doom and gloom for Microsoft in that thread. But Microsoft has fared much better than anyone expected.
betcha if there were prediction thread for another decade, people will post how Google will be turned into former bell labs and eventually seize to exist.