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India will overtake the US economy by 2030

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1–10 of 68 posts

Re: India will overtake the US economy by 2030

#4
post #2

Not hard to do when you don't respect the intellectual property of anyone and close off your market

Yes, USA has been a paragon of virtue in intellectual property matters.

While true that the US is no saint in this regard, the scale of IP theft by China is industrial, and well known.

Re: India will overtake the US economy by 2030

#6
Wildly speculative. Turkey is predicted to have 9.1 [some unit], while Germany 6.8 [some unit]. There are two countries with similar demographic profiles, with Germany having 5x the [nominal] GDP of Turkey today. Short of nuclear war or an asteroid landing in Ruhrgebiet, it's hard to imagine what would lead to Turkey's economy overtaking Germany's in 11 years.

PS. "nominal GDP using purchasing power parity exchange rates" is nonsense. Not sure if the error lies with the journalist or with the source.

Re: India will overtake the US economy by 2030

#7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, USA has been a paragon of virtue in intellectual property matters.

While true that the US is no saint in this regard, the scale of IP theft by China is industrial, and well known.

If history is any indication, once countries start becoming net exporters of IP, and net importers of low-skilled labour, they very quickly adopt the same neo-liberal trade and IP policies that are currently championed by the developed world.

Re: India will overtake the US economy by 2030

#8
This is a often reappearing topic, and to some people it sounds like the end of the world, but that's just too sensationalistic.

Well, even when it happens, then what?

China will still be poorer per capita if it reaches parity in net GDP, and beside the symbolic change in the modulus of GDP gap, nothing will change.

Re: India will overtake the US economy by 2030

#10
post #2

Not hard to do when you don't respect the intellectual property of anyone and close off your market

At some point I would think companies need to do their own R&D if they want to compete globally.

For example, if China wants to lead the world in AI by 2025, they need the best people doing research.

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