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Amazon will be the Largest Company in the World and 1st Trillion Dollar Company

alexdmoore.com

1–10 of 24 posts

Re: Amazon will be the Largest Company in the World and 1st Trillion Dollar Company

#4
post #2

"They are currently valued at about $50BN, but are growing at about 20-25% annually and will continue to do so for the next few decades." Hello, unfounded assertion...

"The housing market is growing 20-25% annually and will continue to do so for the next few decades."

Re: Amazon will be the Largest Company in the World and 1st Trillion Dollar Company

#5
post #4
post #2

"They are currently valued at about $50BN, but are growing at about 20-25% annually and will continue to do so for the next few decades." Hello, unfounded assertion...

"The housing market is growing 20-25% annually and will continue to do so for the next few decades."

He might simply be assuming a high inflation rate.

At 10% inflation, prices will multiply roughly 8x in 20 years, so a trillion dollars would only be about $125B in today's dollars. That's only about half of Wal-Mart's market cap.

Re: Amazon will be the Largest Company in the World and 1st Trillion Dollar Company

#6
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"The housing market is growing 20-25% annually and will continue to do so for the next few decades."

He might simply be assuming a high inflation rate. At 10% inflation, prices will multiply roughly 8x in 20 years, so a trillion dollars would only be about $125B in today's dollars. That's only about half of Wal-Mart's market cap.

"...and the 1st Trillion Dollar Company"

I don't think he was

Re: Amazon will be the Largest Company in the World and 1st Trillion Dollar Company

#8
For 2009 they're listed as position 130 on the F500, so only 129 positions to go.

Take a trend and make some wild-ass extrapolation.

I'm very much impressed with what amazon is doing in general but I don't see them ever holding that top spot.

Re: Amazon will be the Largest Company in the World and 1st Trillion Dollar Company

#10
post #9

He seems to assume that market cap moves in lockstep with revenue. A company's current market cap factors in expectations of future growth.

And by those standards, the market is as optimistic as OP; Amazon is trading at a P/E of 76.

Edit: I don't mean this necessarily as vindication for OP. A P/E of 76 seems very expensive.

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