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Show HN: See Kickstarter successes and failures

thekickbackmachine.com

51–60 of 66 posts

Re: Show HN: See Kickstarter successes and failures

#51
post #42

Any chance of kickstarter releasing a dump of this so we can all have a play? Even at just a month of data it'll stop us all scraping the hell out of the site.

Here's an ongoing dump of TKBM's data: https://www.google.com/fusiontables/DataSource?docid=1ecu_DI...

Re: Show HN: See Kickstarter successes and failures

#52
post #51
post #42

Any chance of kickstarter releasing a dump of this so we can all have a play? Even at just a month of data it'll stop us all scraping the hell out of the site.

Here's an ongoing dump of TKBM's data: https://www.google.com/fusiontables/DataSource?docid=1ecu_DI...

How do you get the pids?

Re: Show HN: See Kickstarter successes and failures

#53

I wish I could upvote this 100 times. I run a website in the tabletop RPG space, and there is an average of 1 new kickstarter per day for someone trying to fund their new game, new module, new idea, new iphone dice roller, new virtual tabletop, etc. They all point to the massive successes, but very few seem to understand that failure is a definite possibility. Thanks for putting this together and I'll definitely be t…

It seems like 75-80% of the card/board game projects are funded according to kickback.

Yeah, that was surprising to me as well. Maybe the whole picture is rosier than I thought.

Re: Show HN: See Kickstarter successes and failures

#55
I had a friend who started something similar one night when he was drinking. But this is much cleaner looking. ;)

I find digging into stats and broad psychological trends relating to human behavior kind of exciting on one level and depressing on another. From one perspective you can really increase your likelihood of getting people to do what you want with small tricks and tweaks. But then you realize that we're all just a bunch of manipulate-able sheep. :/

Re: Show HN: See Kickstarter successes and failures

#56
post #41
post #24

Looking thru http://www.thekickbackmachine.com/browse/all/ it appears the projects are overwhelmingly successful. In the first 163 project, just under 75% were successful. Am I interpreting this incorrectly, or are projects funded successfully an overwhelming majority of the time? jQuery('h2:contains("Successful")', 'div.caption').length; //successful jQuery('h2:contains("Unsuccessful")', 'div.caption').length; //uns…

According to my numbers, since mid-June 2012, the overall success rate for all projects in all categories has been ~72%. Much higher than Kickstarter's all-time success rate of ~44%. Successes seem to be increasing.

But does this stat of ~72% success rate (28% failure rate) include canceled/removed projects, which happens quite often after a failed attempt?

Re: Show HN: See Kickstarter successes and failures

#57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It seems like 75-80% of the card/board game projects are funded according to kickback.

Yeah, that was surprising to me as well. Maybe the whole picture is rosier than I thought.

Kickback's corpus only goes back to June 2012.

Re: Show HN: See Kickstarter successes and failures

#59
Woah.

http://www.kickstarter.com/projects/818526066/the-grassroots...

Hollywood Actor Jason Biggs (from American Pie) had his $5,000 goal kickstarter campaign FAIL. F.A.I.L. And he's in Hollywood. People know him. He knows people. Wow.

I guess this goes to show that success is never guarenteed. One cannot predict future success based on past success, or future failure based on past failure. It also makes me feel really good about my own kickstarter campaign failing.

Wow this made my day. Poor guy though, it must have been a huge "wtf" for him.

edit: Changed "oh my god" to "woah" to avoid getting any more downvotes. As an atheist I'm curious to know weather it came from offended christians or vengeful atheists.

Re: Show HN: See Kickstarter successes and failures

#60

Woah. http://www.kickstarter.com/projects/818526066/the-grassroots... Hollywood Actor Jason Biggs (from American Pie) had his $5,000 goal kickstarter campaign FAIL. F.A.I.L. And he's in Hollywood. People know him. He knows people. Wow. I guess this goes to show that success is never guarenteed. One cannot predict future success based on past success, or future failure based on past failure. It also makes me feel real…

That's odd. If nothing else, his wife has a huge social media following. Doesn't seem like he'd have trouble getting the word out if he wanted to.
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