Show HN: Is Hormuz open yet? • Hacker News Board

Re: Show HN: Is Hormuz open yet?

#191

Post by herewulf » Thu, Apr 09, 2026, 2:47 PM UTC

trhway wrote: post #120

tomtomtom777 wrote: post #100

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Actually yes. I put my money in things I would like to see shape the future, which I think is what investment should be about: shaping the future. But disregarding this admittedly niche attitude; it's not the same thing. If you're opening bets on the ships being bombed before a certain date, you're opening incentives for people to do so. Although buying OIL or Palantir is morally questionable, it does not create such…

>you're opening incentives for people to do so how about short-selling of stocks, isn't it the same thing? I'd even argue that sinking one ship affects say 10 people of the crew who most probable will survive in the warm Gulf waters whereis sinking a company may affect many people life outcomes probably causing a number of indirect deaths. CDS of 2008 would be similar example. >buying OIL or Palantir is morally quest…

> $1/barrel, nice for Iran, how come that they had't implemented such an idea before? one can only wonder

Probably someone would have bombed their country of they had done that before. That and the reverse are pretty basic assumptions..

Re: Show HN: Is Hormuz open yet?

#192

Post by lazide » Thu, Apr 09, 2026, 3:13 PM UTC

lukewarm707 wrote: post #171

anonfunction wrote: post #61

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Funnily enough, I did find a few satellite sources at the beginning for the map background and noticed that all the ships seemed to be scrubbed from the image. It's an interesting idea, thanks for the comment! The sources I used were: - ESRI World Imagery[1] — free satellite tiles, high-res, but ships are stripped out from the imagery - NASA GIBS - VIIRS[2] — near real-time daily satellite imagery from NASA, but reso…

modifying the data is crazy doesn't this sort of thing invalidate any kind of experiment because the instrument is no longer trustworthy

Most of them remove clouds for similar reasons - moving/temporary stuff in individual images makes the underlying data useless.

Re: Show HN: Is Hormuz open yet?

#193

Post by roryirvine » Thu, Apr 09, 2026, 3:13 PM UTC

colechristensen wrote: post #117

DaedalusII wrote: post #110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

why dont UK start enforcing the Marine Insurance Act 1745 to combat this or the Life insurance act maybe 1775 this law literally make it illegal to gamble on marine risk that you do not have direct economic interest in

Are they? Is there a prediction market available in the UK which allows you to place these bets? They're regulated like gambling there.

Bookmakers and betting exchanges regulated in the UK have always been pretty careful about not adding unlawful markets.

Anything that relies directly or indirectly on the death of a real person is covered outlawed by the Life Assurance Act, so you've never been able to bet on things like fatal crashes in an F1 race or the date of the start of the next monarch's reign.

The Marine Insurance Act is a new one on me, but I've never seen anything which would obviously violate that. There's plenty of spread betting on oil, but mostly on prices and volumes, not the fate of individual cargoes.

Re: Show HN: Is Hormuz open yet?

#194

Post by anonfunction » Thu, Apr 09, 2026, 3:34 PM UTC

gloosx wrote: post #165

Hello OP, I think using an ai agent to fetch the JSON is a bit of an overkill Here is a node.js script for you which will fetch the data and save it to the file: import fs from 'fs' import puppeteer from 'puppeteer-extra' import StealthPlugin from 'puppeteer-extra-plugin-stealth' puppeteer.use(StealthPlugin()) const browser = await puppeteer.launch(); const page = await browser.newPage(); async function fetchCoords(x…

Take your upvote, love the old school hn spirit.

Reminds me of when I was speaking at a conference back in the mid 2010's with a presentation titled "Join the dark side of APIs" or something akin to that, where I showed many of the newly popularized "single page apps (SPAs)" relied on undocumented and public APIs, often without any authorization. Immediately followed by a talk by a business type guy on API copyright or something or other.

Re: Show HN: Is Hormuz open yet?

#195

Post by TomasBM » Thu, Apr 09, 2026, 3:39 PM UTC

gloosx wrote: post #165

Hello OP, I think using an ai agent to fetch the JSON is a bit of an overkill Here is a node.js script for you which will fetch the data and save it to the file: import fs from 'fs' import puppeteer from 'puppeteer-extra' import StealthPlugin from 'puppeteer-extra-plugin-stealth' puppeteer.use(StealthPlugin()) const browser = await puppeteer.launch(); const page = await browser.newPage(); async function fetchCoords(x…

If I had to pick one thing I like about software devs as a group, it's this: you find a problem, you solve it, you share the solution.

Re: Show HN: Is Hormuz open yet?

#196

Post by gagzilla » Thu, Apr 09, 2026, 3:58 PM UTC

Very cool! Thanks for sharing.

There is also this one- https://hormuzstraitmonitor.com/

Re: Show HN: Is Hormuz open yet?

#197

Post by anonfunction » Thu, Apr 09, 2026, 4:11 PM UTC

gagzilla wrote: post #196

Very cool! Thanks for sharing. There is also this one- https://hormuzstraitmonitor.com/

This is very cool, I just wonder where they get the crossing data!

Re: Show HN: Is Hormuz open yet?

#198

Post by gagzilla » Thu, Apr 09, 2026, 5:24 PM UTC

anonfunction wrote: post #197

gagzilla wrote: post #196

Very cool! Thanks for sharing. There is also this one- https://hormuzstraitmonitor.com/

This is very cool, I just wonder where they get the crossing data!

I'm guessing from the AIS Vessel Tracking (mentioned in their data sources)- https://www.vesselfinder.com/realtime-ais-data

Re: Show HN: Is Hormuz open yet?

#199

Post by xg15 » Thu, Apr 09, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC

I like how this already includes the Polymarket estimate. Maybe there should be another category "new accounts on Polymarket that bet some suspiciously high amounts on those specific dates"...

Re: Show HN: Is Hormuz open yet?

#200

Post by ericmcer » Thu, Apr 09, 2026, 5:37 PM UTC

gloosx wrote: post #165

Hello OP, I think using an ai agent to fetch the JSON is a bit of an overkill Here is a node.js script for you which will fetch the data and save it to the file: import fs from 'fs' import puppeteer from 'puppeteer-extra' import StealthPlugin from 'puppeteer-extra-plugin-stealth' puppeteer.use(StealthPlugin()) const browser = await puppeteer.launch(); const page = await browser.newPage(); async function fetchCoords(x…

What is the AI agent doing in this interaction? This is a public API exposed to any browser...