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Show HN: Unplugg: An automated Forecasting API for timeseries data

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Re: Show HN: Unplugg: An automated Forecasting API for timeseries data

#3

Post by mgontav »

dardien wrote: post #2

This is interesting but, if I give you for example 12 months of data (Evenly distributed), how much time in the future will it be able to forecast?

We allow for you to specify the limit of the forecasting period, so you can experiment with that.

However, due to how we model the forecast, it isn't realistic to expect ultra-long term predictions, as eventually the forecast will revert to the mean of the series.

In a more practical note, we have seen good results with forecast windows in between 1/4 and 1/8 the size of the historic data given. So, in your case you could expect between 1-3 months of forecast.

Re: Show HN: Unplugg: An automated Forecasting API for timeseries data

#5

Post by mgontav »

y7 wrote: post #4

Why is there no mention of the model you use?

Our goal is to keep it as simple as we can, keeping the worries about model selection and tuning on our side as much as possible, therefore we don't go much into those details.

I can share that our platform is built on top of ARIMA models, but with a lot of pre-processing work done previously to try and figure out automatically the best parameters to use, as well as a lot of previous hand-tweaking done by ourselves in-house using different datasets (we started out tuning it for forecasting energy consumption, but figured that the resulting models were performing well enough to warrant testing in other domains).

Right now we're opening it up for testing to get more feedback on its performance, so feel free to shoot any more questions or feedback.

Re: Show HN: Unplugg: An automated Forecasting API for timeseries data

#7

Post by mgontav »

tommynicholas wrote: post #6

Very cool, something I would definitely use in a project I'm working on if it were a package I could install, and something I would probably use "as is" in many other instances.

Hey, you can still try it out as is, just request an API key and start using it. Unless you're worried about sending data out into unknown servers... in that case I can assure you we keep absolutely no information on the data we receive to be processed. Our initial use-case of energy consumption forecasting demanded this kind of data policy, and we're sticking to it.

Re: Show HN: Unplugg: An automated Forecasting API for timeseries data

#8

Post by tommynicholas »

mgontav wrote: post #7
tommynicholas wrote: post #6

Very cool, something I would definitely use in a project I'm working on if it were a package I could install, and something I would probably use "as is" in many other instances.

Hey, you can still try it out as is, just request an API key and start using it. Unless you're worried about sending data out into unknown servers... in that case I can assure you we keep absolutely no information on the data we receive to be processed. Our initial use-case of energy consumption forecasting demanded this kind of data policy, and we're sticking to it.

I will definitely try it out, thanks!

Re: Show HN: Unplugg: An automated Forecasting API for timeseries data

#9

Post by mgontav »

tommynicholas wrote: post #8
mgontav wrote: post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Hey, you can still try it out as is, just request an API key and start using it. Unless you're worried about sending data out into unknown servers... in that case I can assure you we keep absolutely no information on the data we receive to be processed. Our initial use-case of energy consumption forecasting demanded this kind of data policy, and we're sticking to it.

I will definitely try it out, thanks!

Cool! Get back to us with feedback on how it went, we're looking for as much input as possible at this point.
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