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Ask HN: How do most dry theory writers struggle to get started?

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Ask HN: How do most dry theory writers struggle to get started?

#1
I’m an independent researcher working on political modeling and some philosophical theory. Every essay I publish disappears without notice. I’ve decided not to chase current events just to get clicks.

The problem isn’t quality of discussion, it’s that nobody even opens the articles. What else can someone in my position do?

Re: Ask HN: How do most dry theory writers struggle to get started?

#2
I can't view your substack that you linked to previously.

> nobody even opens the articles

Speaking for myself, if your article was (say) "Why [do] [the] UK and Japan still keep their monarch", you need to put your thesis in the title or tagline or first paragraph. If I don't see a coherent premise that at least sounds interesting or informative or novel (or contrarian, or satirical), I'll bounce. (Do you have analytics on which channels incoming readers come from? Experiment.)

And you could personalize the article with some anecdote/ historical reference/ quote/ illustration so it isn't all dry theory, which few will read. (Not to the degree popularizers like Freakonomics did, but somewhat.)

Anyway the reason the UK still keep their monarch is centuries of political inertia; if they abolished that they'd have to abolish peerages, the social order, honors lists, end the CoE being established state church (that issue alone is a hand-grenade), then they'd have to decide if they wanted an elected or appointed President etc etc. The fact that they never had a (long-lived) revolution means they don't have a (written) Constitution. It would also cause shock waves on their status wrt Canada, Australia, NZ, the Caribbean. So it's too anachronistic to persist, yet it's too complicated to change. Realistically they only get to make changes whenever the monarchy e.g. passes from Charles to William.

Japan is different: it was what the US permitted them to retain after WWII, to maintain continuity as they reshaped postwar Japan. If the US had forced too much change too fast, there could have been resistance.

Re: Ask HN: How do most dry theory writers struggle to get started?

#3
post #2

I can't view your substack that you linked to previously. > nobody even opens the articles Speaking for myself, if your article was (say) "Why [do] [the] UK and Japan still keep their monarch" , you need to put your thesis in the title or tagline or first paragraph. If I don't see a coherent premise that at least sounds interesting or informative or novel (or contrarian, or satirical), I'll bounce. (Do you have analy…

I have not yet finished my paper on Britain and Japan. My current project is an attempt to go beyond the traditional separation of powers by proposing three additional dimensions of democratic resilience: the Constitutional State, the Popular Referendum, and the Ceremonial Sovereign. My argument is that only when these dimensions are deliberately coupled can democracy gain both legitimacy and resilience.

The first two essays explain what these new dimensions are, with the second focusing on the logic of coupling. The third essay, which I am still working on, turns to detailed case studies.

If you are interested in reviewing or analyzing my arguments, I would be deeply grateful. I’ve attached my Medium link below and would very much welcome any feedback or criticism.

https://medium.com/why-democracy-fails/beyond-separation-of-...

Re: Ask HN: How do most dry theory writers struggle to get started?

#4
post #2

I can't view your substack that you linked to previously. > nobody even opens the articles Speaking for myself, if your article was (say) "Why [do] [the] UK and Japan still keep their monarch" , you need to put your thesis in the title or tagline or first paragraph. If I don't see a coherent premise that at least sounds interesting or informative or novel (or contrarian, or satirical), I'll bounce. (Do you have analy…

zywoo, you're getting shadowbanned or stalked or something, every time you post it gets killed instantly. You should contact the mods to have that removed.

Re: Ask HN: How do most dry theory writers struggle to get started?

#5
post #4
post #2

I can't view your substack that you linked to previously. > nobody even opens the articles Speaking for myself, if your article was (say) "Why [do] [the] UK and Japan still keep their monarch" , you need to put your thesis in the title or tagline or first paragraph. If I don't see a coherent premise that at least sounds interesting or informative or novel (or contrarian, or satirical), I'll bounce. (Do you have analy…

zywoo, you're getting shadowbanned or stalked or something, every time you post it gets killed instantly. You should contact the mods to have that removed.

Can you see my comment now?

Re: Ask HN: How do most dry theory writers struggle to get started?

#6
post #5
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

zywoo, you're getting shadowbanned or stalked or something, every time you post it gets killed instantly. You should contact the mods to have that removed.

Can you see my comment now?

Every time you post it gets instantly killed. I keep having to vouch every comment of yours to restore them. Can you contact the moderators to get this fixed?

Re: Ask HN: How do most dry theory writers struggle to get started?

#7
post #6
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can you see my comment now?

Every time you post it gets instantly killed. I keep having to vouch every comment of yours to restore them. Can you contact the moderators to get this fixed?

Seems to have been fixed now.

Re: Ask HN: How do most dry theory writers struggle to get started?

#8
post #7
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Every time you post it gets instantly killed. I keep having to vouch every comment of yours to restore them. Can you contact the moderators to get this fixed?

Seems to have been fixed now.

I can’t thank you more. This is my first time using HN, and since every title I clicked took me to an external link, I completely misunderstood the meaning and purpose of HN. After communicating with the moderator, I’ve gained a better understanding, and I’ll make sure to spend more time reading and joining discussions. I really appreciate your comment.

Re: Ask HN: How do most dry theory writers struggle to get started?

#9
post #3
post #2

I can't view your substack that you linked to previously. > nobody even opens the articles Speaking for myself, if your article was (say) "Why [do] [the] UK and Japan still keep their monarch" , you need to put your thesis in the title or tagline or first paragraph. If I don't see a coherent premise that at least sounds interesting or informative or novel (or contrarian, or satirical), I'll bounce. (Do you have analy…

I have not yet finished my paper on Britain and Japan. My current project is an attempt to go beyond the traditional separation of powers by proposing three additional dimensions of democratic resilience: the Constitutional State, the Popular Referendum, and the Ceremonial Sovereign. My argument is that only when these dimensions are deliberately coupled can democracy gain both legitimacy and resilience. The first tw…

Ok but I already gave you my short version on UK vs Japan:

In 7+ centuries Britain(/UK) the ruling class never had a revolution/civil war that lasted longer than a generation, hence the builtin default action is to continue with the monarchy and associated class system. This also avoids all the (enormous) internal and external turmoil I cited. (PS In the age of social media I don't think you can call a popular referendum 'democracy', Brexit being the very obvious example. It depends on how literate the electorate at large are, and how tight(/loose/nonexistent) the controls on media spending to manipulate them are.)

Whereas in Japan, it was the US occupation post-WWII which intentionally decided to keep the monarchy for social cohesion, while reducing it to being titular, and abolishing the nobility. This was the US's (and MacArthur's) architecting, not Japan's. It's not like Japan had a referendum or parliamentary debate about the Showa Consitution [0]. And one intent was to prevent Japan fracturing internally, but to keep it from going imperialist again, and totally dependent on the US militarily. (Japan didn't even have provision for a constitutional referendum until a decade ago, and if it ever achieves the 2/3 support to have one, it'll more likely be about removing the Self-Defense Clause than abolishing/reducing the monarchy.)

It would be an interesting what-if to conjecture how the US might have reshaped Britain in the 1940s, like Japan.

Re your article, it's a strength not a weakness that the US doesn't have a national/federal referendum, most states have a pretty active ballot initiative system, so e.g. state taxation, legalizing marijuana etc. can be tried out and then we have statistics to inform federal (legislative) policy-making, plus there's less inertia to undoing bad decisions, like when Michigan nearly taxed itself out of existence and all its jobs and young people emigrated (internally).

I wouldn't say the UK has a disciplined approach to referendums. You can't even tell what % of GDP was spent (by third-parties) on political/social-media influence campaigns during 2015/6 (Brexit referendum), not even now a decade later. Not just [1] but all the other campaigns and interest groups.

[0]: Showa Constitution of 1946, seems pretty clear it was authored by the US not Japan [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitution_of_Japan]

[1]: "Arron Banks and the mystery Brexit campaign funds", FT 11/2018 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18382116

Archive: https://archive.ph/V4aHb

Re: Ask HN: How do most dry theory writers struggle to get started?

#10
post #9
post #3

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have not yet finished my paper on Britain and Japan. My current project is an attempt to go beyond the traditional separation of powers by proposing three additional dimensions of democratic resilience: the Constitutional State, the Popular Referendum, and the Ceremonial Sovereign. My argument is that only when these dimensions are deliberately coupled can democracy gain both legitimacy and resilience. The first tw…

Ok but I already gave you my short version on UK vs Japan: In 7+ centuries Britain(/UK) the ruling class never had a revolution/civil war that lasted longer than a generation, hence the builtin default action is to continue with the monarchy and associated class system. This also avoids all the (enormous) internal and external turmoil I cited. (PS In the age of social media I don't think you can call a popular refere…

Yes. Building on the separation of powers, I hypothesize that democracy’s legitimacy rests on three sources: a constitutional state, a ceremonial sovereign, and the popular referendum. These three must be tightly coupled in order to achieve the greatest stability of democracy.

But the reasoning does not stop there. The most important additional constraint is that these three sources of legitimacy must never be coupled with the lower triad of separation of powers at the federal level. If they are, the result is destructive: for example, a monarch deciding executive affairs turns into dictatorship, while referendums deciding legislative matters become tyranny of the majority—the clearest case being Britain’s 51% vs. 49% Brexit vote. Only when the upper and lower dimensions remain uncoupled does democracy become highly resilient.

I believe Britain has not done well in resisting this vertical coupling, while the United States has yet to fully develop the concept of a ceremonial sovereign. What I am sketching is a somewhat complex six-dimensional model of democratic tension. If it takes shape, it might provide an optimal solution to democracy, building on Lijphart’s two-dimensional model—but I have not yet reached a full conclusion.

At present I am writing a comparative study of constitutional monarchy in Britain and Japan. I am deeply grateful for your help and inspiration. Recently I have been studying everything from Britain’s last royal veto in 1708, to modern European referendums, to the unique features of Japan’s constitutional text. This is time-consuming work, but thanks to AI, my efficiency has already improved greatly.

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