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Ask HN: With AI bubble burst imminent, where do you put your money?

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Ask HN: With AI bubble burst imminent, where do you put your money?

#1
Many people on HN seem quite skeptical of the current AI hype—some even believe the bubble could burst soon. For example, a disappointing GPT-5 release in August might already trigger such a shift. If that happens, it could also impact the stock prices of major tech companies heavily invested in AI.

So, what's your backup plan? Are you diversifying your investments to protect your assets, or are you pulling your money out entirely and going full "under the mattress" mode?

Re: Ask HN: With AI bubble burst imminent, where do you put your money?

#4
It could have happened already, but hasn't for some reason. I guess the hype is still too strong. Didn't Sam Altman already come out and say GPT-5 is just going to be a more streamlined offering of the different types of services that already exist?

I like Claude Code. I think it's the best thing that's happened to software development in a long time, actually. Other similar tools are probably good too, I just haven't used them yet. But I'd hardly call that a transformational technology ushering in a new era of civilization.

It took decades for electricity to transform the way we live. Same with computers 100 years later. I suspect it will be the same for AI.

Re: Ask HN: With AI bubble burst imminent, where do you put your money?

#5
I am both bearish on AI and don’t see the bubble popping soon. People are too invested. Some of the most powerful people in Silicon Valley have staked their reputations in it. What happens to Satya Nadella if the bubble bursts? The freaking president of the United States is all in as they say.

The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.

Re: Ask HN: With AI bubble burst imminent, where do you put your money?

#8

My backup plan --- don't backup at all. Instead, short the stocks of overvalued AI players and ride them on the way down to something closer to reality.

Which ones?

I think this is probably safer than pulling out of index funds, as you can afford to hold these shorts long-term. I wasn't aware of any obvious AI frauds that IPOed, but didn't really research it.

Re: Ask HN: With AI bubble burst imminent, where do you put your money?

#9

Hold on to tangible assets as they appreciate: Land/real estate Gold/silver Art/Collector items/vehicles Savings bonds and the like are also very safe places to put some money.

“As they appreciate” AKA “as the dollar depreciates bc the dollar machine keeps going brrrr”

Re: Ask HN: With AI bubble burst imminent, where do you put your money?

#10

I am both bearish on AI and don’t see the bubble popping soon. People are too invested. Some of the most powerful people in Silicon Valley have staked their reputations in it. What happens to Satya Nadella if the bubble bursts? The freaking president of the United States is all in as they say. The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.

People have short memories. Their reputations will be fine.
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