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Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

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Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#1
I'm currently in highschool and up until recently my plan was to become a software engineer and eventually start a startup. Over the last several years I've spent a lot of time programming for fun in my spare time and in my opinion I've gotten pretty good. I've built some pretty fun and cool things like chess engines, video games, 3d renderers from scratch and competed in my national computing contest with a solid placement. However as I've watched more and more generative ML models pop up seemingly every month for the past year or two my future feels more uncertain. It seems like a large portion of jobs will be wiped out sooner than many people expected, much like how alpha go achieved super human performance in the game of go nearly a decade before most people expected. I'm not even 100% set on tech as my career but I can see these models outperforming humans in nearly any career. ChatGPT already writes better essays than I do and stable diffusion generates better drawings than I do. What's next? Creating better lesson plans in school? Coming up with more convincing arguments in court? AI programming is not quite as good as I am yet but it's definitely on the horizon. Right now it feels like the only two viable options are to leverage these new technologies for business or to become one of the researchers creating these large models.

Tldr: what would you do if you were an ambitious teenager interested in tech entering a world soon to be dominated by large language models and other generative machine learning algorithms?

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#3
post #2

AI will often lie confidently. It will need expert humans to correct these “hallucinations”. You’ll be safe, kiddo.

100% for the near term but a couple decades from now I'm not so sure. Chess computers beat humans every single time even the absolute best of the best and they keep getting even better even since they first beat a world champion over 30 years ago. Is it not likely that similar trends could happen in other areas?

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#4
Focus on something you expect AI not to exceed professional humans at in the next couple of decades. If you're convinced there's no such thing, then I wouldn't worry so much about career choice.

For a concrete answer in tech, have a look at AI development itself. Keep abreast of what OpenAI and their competitors identify as open problems and orient your academic career towards working in them. The object level questions will change while you're in school; the goal is an "intercept trajectory" where what you study just before you graduate is the state of the art.

Alternatively, highly regulated professions (medicine, law, civil engineering to name a few) are likely to continue to employ bright humans long after AI can do the job just because no-one will be allowed to use AI there.

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#6
post #2

AI will often lie confidently. It will need expert humans to correct these “hallucinations”. You’ll be safe, kiddo.

100% for the near term but a couple decades from now I'm not so sure. Chess computers beat humans every single time even the absolute best of the best and they keep getting even better even since they first beat a world champion over 30 years ago. Is it not likely that similar trends could happen in other areas?

AI will excel in areas with clear cut rules and game theoretical modes of operation. Computers lack a Theory of the World which would allow them to: 1) create said rules, or 2) put disparate pieces into place in novel ways to further said rules. Humans will always be needed as a result.

But I could be wrong, who knows?

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#7
ChatGPT expects to have $1B in revenue in 2024. This revenue is going to come from people building businesses around it (<-- possibly you? this would require programming knowledge obv.). Honestly, I think a person could make a living as a prompt-engineer right now. You can't fight it, you have to lean into it.

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#8
Find an industry or line of work you are interested in and learn about problems in that area. Then build products to solve those problems. Use ChatGPT, stable diffusion, and others as force multipliers.

The funny thing with problems is that they never end. Even if AI is effective against the current slate of problems, new ones tend to show up quickly.

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#9

I'm a software developer/engineer with 25 years experience. The coding aspect of software development is actually a very small part of the overall job. I don't expect AI to significantly change my job in the least.

I wonder, can you ask ChatGPT to write a compelling argument convincing a room full of senior software engineers that they need to switch to a new technology? Or to write a series of Jira tickets to complete a feature?

Re: Ask HN: How do I thrive in an AI dominated future?

#10
Since you are thinking about this in highschool, you are on the right track. There is not a AI dominated future that isn't driven by Software Engineers. You can either be an engineer creating AI/ML tech or an engineer using the AI/ML tech.

There will also be a very long tail of "traditional" software engineering. But if you are still 4-5 years out from your "career" - you probably wont want to count on a traditional software engineering job.

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