Ask HN: Your predictions for 2012?

Oakland's continuing trend as an up-and-coming alternative to the SF start-up scene will gain some recognition and tractable returns, exponentially fueling its viability.

Start-ups ending in .ly will reach critical mass and those further hoping to capitalize on this will be viewed as "old-hat" (if even only in name/branding). This will be revisited in late 2012 by a smashing.ly successful start-up that uses it for "ironic" purposes (if even only in name/branding).

Some sort of hybrid between Bitcoin and MMORPG will emerge. If you think people are jumping ship on Bitcoin in droves and that it will soon be "dead", consider that people still play Project Entropia (and even begin playing as new players) to this day, and then consider why.

20 to 30 new programming languages will be released, giving birth to the meta-polyglot, or a language whose purpose is to form a polyglot translation bridge.

Hundreds of articles will be written with titles like "n ways to foo your bars in 2012".

Thousands like me will make public their predictions for 2012 based on the biases and misinformation that have been brewing in their vacuous heads for more than just the past year.

The world won't end on Dec. 21, 2012.

Our latest project will give you lots of financial predictions, many for 2012 (though you can't filter by that explicitly yet): http://backrecord.com Early days, but if you're into this sort of thing worth checking out..

I am a disgruntled entrepreneur who for nearly 2 years have been developing an enterprise 2.0 solution for the "closed" startup. I predict this will be the year of the Open Startup and it's foundup®. We running a closed alpha development trial and launching public beta on 12.12.12. What's so great about the open startup? It doesn't need the 1% to succeed and they launch as Open Corp and new selfless framework in which 20-80% of net profits are invested into lannching more open corps. My prediction is this...

1) Closed incubators such as this one and other clones will be displaced by a highly scaleable open free solution that offers a solution where 1% are not needed. 2) Closed crowdfunding funding platforms like profounder, KS, IGG, etc will be disrupted by our free version that offers TWO new ways to raise funds, 1) has raised over $1.6bn for npo strategic initiatives and another is my creation that I call passive crowdfunding. 3) Developers will be marginalized to becoming construction workers. As I have invented a new way to validate ideas.

There is a lot more but I will leave some things to be suprises :) Here are my talks... http://j.mp/OSiplaylist. If you want to see the solution that lies outside your paradigm to fully comprehend and you are willing to sign an NDA then I would be happy to show you it. After all I don't want this BS happening to us http://j.mp/modista. Open Startups is really Stupid simple... it combines 10 years of me beta testing experience, throws in fundraising lessons learned and 2 years of picking apart the Valley Startup. Just as Wikipedia disrupted MS Encarta. The Open Startup will change the world. I am here telling you but it should so absurd none of you will take heed... that OK. FOUNDUPS® Vision statement is "Be Good." because let's face it "Don't Be Evil" just doesn't cut it any more. We are a blue ocean strategy just letting now the red ocean we are here and would LOVE you to own some of use to hedge against our disrupting your business model. Jimmy Wales never did that... I think that was wrong. Paul, there you have my prediction... Love to show you our Open Startup !ncubator (OS!)

FOUNDUPS® Michael Trout, CEO Sorry for the edits, like Shakespeare I am highly dislexic

http://predictionbook.com/ is handy for keeping track of predictions, and getting feedback about your overconfidence/underconfidence. (It generates a graph of your your confidence vs. accuracy - '90% sure' should happen 90% of the time.) Outside of specialist sites, you generally see no confidence values attached to predictions, and vagueness that makes judging them difficult or impossible.

Of possible interest:

http://lesswrong.com/lw/7z9/1001_predictionbook_nights/

http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/8dx/predictionbook_a_sh...