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Ask HN: ML model to predict war and extent of it?

news.ycombinator.com

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Ask HN: ML model to predict war and extent of it?

#1
Given the sudden strain in the Himalayas, I wonder if a model can be created with input to actions (Nepal messaging, Covid-19) and NLP (rhetoric) to assess the odds of a war breaking out, and moreover its extent. Are there models floating around already that could be used?