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Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

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Re: Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

#4
When will stores be open again, when will we do meetups again, when will we be able to travel again?

Around 10 weeks for stores and meetups, longer for travel depending on the destination.

However, Covid-19 will likely be a lesson in single point of failure, supply chain dependency, and failure planning. To that end things will take decades to go back to the way they were. Companies will not be willing to accept massive losses again, so they'll change the way they operate. That will continue until the cost reductions from going back to the way things were win out.

For some things, like remote working, I don't think we'll ever go back. It'll be a thing companies plan for, implement, and accept as normal after this.

(I'm in the UK though, which probably makes a difference.)

Re: Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

#5
post #4

When will stores be open again, when will we do meetups again, when will we be able to travel again? Around 10 weeks for stores and meetups, longer for travel depending on the destination. However, Covid-19 will likely be a lesson in single point of failure, supply chain dependency, and failure planning. To that end things will take decades to go back to the way they were. Companies will not be willing to accept mass…

> For some things, like remote working, I don't think we'll ever go back.

This could go two ways:

(a) people realise that remote working is very doable, because they managed at short notice, during a crisis, and thus it will increase.

(b) people will believe that remote work is not doable, because they didn't manage at short notice, during a crisis, and thus it will not increase.

I would be very surprised if anyone who didn't handle the change well, would accept "well you realise that you changed to this overnight, with zero planning some of us have spent the last decade or so 'making it work'?" and try again in a better scenario (i.e. time to make a proper home office, time to adjust to a different way of working, etc).

Re: Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

#6
post #4

When will stores be open again, when will we do meetups again, when will we be able to travel again? Around 10 weeks for stores and meetups, longer for travel depending on the destination. However, Covid-19 will likely be a lesson in single point of failure, supply chain dependency, and failure planning. To that end things will take decades to go back to the way they were. Companies will not be willing to accept mass…

Interesting, that you say longer for travel.

To what extend is travel restricted at the moment? What happens when someone from - say - Germany flies to the UK?

As far as I can see, flights can still be booked.

Re: Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

#7
post #4

When will stores be open again, when will we do meetups again, when will we be able to travel again? Around 10 weeks for stores and meetups, longer for travel depending on the destination. However, Covid-19 will likely be a lesson in single point of failure, supply chain dependency, and failure planning. To that end things will take decades to go back to the way they were. Companies will not be willing to accept mass…

I still haven’t seen anyone change their mind on remote work. It’s all temporary. I’d love to see it though.

Re: Ask HN: When do you expect life will get back to “normal”?

#10
post #5
post #4

When will stores be open again, when will we do meetups again, when will we be able to travel again? Around 10 weeks for stores and meetups, longer for travel depending on the destination. However, Covid-19 will likely be a lesson in single point of failure, supply chain dependency, and failure planning. To that end things will take decades to go back to the way they were. Companies will not be willing to accept mass…

> For some things, like remote working, I don't think we'll ever go back. This could go two ways: (a) people realise that remote working is very doable, because they managed at short notice, during a crisis, and thus it will increase. (b) people will believe that remote work is not doable, because they didn't manage at short notice, during a crisis, and thus it will not increase. I would be very surprised if anyone w…

Given the potential cost savings for both businesses and individuals there is already an incentive to do it; this situation will force companies to make the effort and try. I'd be surprised if there are many companies that get to the end of, say, 12 weeks of quarantine and haven't figured out how to make it work at least to some extent, or at least worked out some of the things that block it so they can start working on those problems.
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