1–10 of 69 posts
-the general IT fields (mobile hardware, net neutrality and other broad topics)
-your domain specifically (ie, what disruption can we expect where?)
-your life (what are you working on?)
Next year austerity and rising interest rate will take root in major economies, forced by runaway inflation in food, gas and commodity prices - caused by massive printing by US/Europe/Japan/China. This will result in money in flight from risky investments (emerging countries, startups, expansions) to safe investments, which will cause job losses in many of those sectors. Healthcare and Food industries will grow. Ente…
iPads and macbooks coming in colors.
Web of things will kickoff with arduino and programmable toys that can be controlled from and ipad/iphone.
Geolocation businesses are the new black. One can possibly disrupt eBay or craigslist.
Facebook IPO will be the best evar in terms of hype and money made. Just to deflate at the end of the year and leave the tech world in ruins.
Google IS the cloud.
Mac mini 'soapbar'. More power that fits in your hand.
Firefox 4 will never catch up to Chrome. Too late. Too sad.
Ubuntu thinks about re-branding in order to pass the 10% market share. They are that good.
Apple TV? They slowly got the trademarking and patents issue solved. They'll go for a screen now, a real TV that streams and record your shows/movies.
But not until 2012...
I expect Flash to become very insignificant, much in the way Java currently is on the web: good for a few complex applets here and there and on legacy sites, but most people could care less.
The Web: I expect the governments to try to continue to gain more control over policing the web, as well as corporate back deals.. but I don't think web will be much more different from now until next year except that more of it will go over cell networks instead of through the home broadband connections.
Hardware: More people will opt for Tablets and phones for the majority of their computing needs.
Programming: I can see projects like Google App Inventor leading to a plethora of new applications and interest in development.
Everything in your life will be quantified and if you want recorded.
You can see actual stats and progress in your life.
A lot of boring things including our jobs will become more fun and merit based rewards at work will accelerate in growth around the world.
We talk a lot about this on our wiki at http://gamification.org .
Next year austerity and rising interest rate will take root in major economies, forced by runaway inflation in food, gas and commodity prices - caused by massive printing by US/Europe/Japan/China. This will result in money in flight from risky investments (emerging countries, startups, expansions) to safe investments, which will cause job losses in many of those sectors. Healthcare and Food industries will grow. Ente…
What do you consider "safe" in a super-inflationary environment? Safety is generally regarded as being cash or bonds, but those become the absolute worst asset classes to hold during very high inflation.
Next year austerity and rising interest rate will take root in major economies, forced by runaway inflation in food, gas and commodity prices - caused by massive printing by US/Europe/Japan/China. This will result in money in flight from risky investments (emerging countries, startups, expansions) to safe investments, which will cause job losses in many of those sectors. Healthcare and Food industries will grow. Ente…
2012 maybe (but not for the UK due to the Olympics - yes I believe that event alone will cause a loss that will cost us dearly in the long run but may delay the inevitable).
I see phone apps becoming more important than they are now. Apple TV will flop again, but the concept will start to gain traction with cable boxes (BT, Sky and Virgin Media already have this in the UK - I see them integrating the ideas into their set top boxes to cut people like Boxee out).
- your domain
Next year will be the year of cybersecurity. All the boxes you saw this year that deal with identity management will be rebranded as cybersecurity boxes next year. Bruce Schneier will eventually learn the difference between CNE and CNA and will finally start to talk sense on the subject (it took him about two to three years to get airport security mostly right, he's been doing cyber for about a year).
Someone will release a big bug in something important. A bunch of information will be stolen from somewhere. We'll all act like it's something new, when it's not really.
Sorry, I'm highly cynical about my industry.
- your life
I'm hoping to work on iuguy 2.0 once minklinks is out of the way. With luck and the will of the FSM I may well spawn before the year is out. Minklinks will go live at worst in 2011. iuguy 2.0 may follow in 2012.