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Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

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Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#911
1. The dangers of microplastics to humans and other mammals are better understood. Some groups are pushing to ban using washers on any clothes made with synthetics in cities that recirculate waste water

2. Disney has bought one or 2 studio competitor(s) with little pushback from regulators. The second Toy-Story trilogy is about to conclude, and it features (a rebooted) Antman, setting up phase 5 of the larger Disney Cinematic Universe. You will only be able to watch an independent movie on 2 days of the year at your nearest cinema

3. Starlink has 4. A recession early in the decade decimates the startup scene claiming some marquee names.Venture Capital is much more prudent in the aftermath, with fewer IPOs. The exuberance of the 201x's is long forgotten, well-paying tech jobs will suddenly evaporate. Out of this conflagration, some companies will emerge that will have prominence at the end of the decade

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#912
- political philosophy merges with cognitive sciences and it will be scientifically demonstrated that some political philosophies are nothing more than mental illnesses

- epigenetics merges with cybernetics and it becomes possible to backup people's epigenome for later when they aren't as healthy as in their previous epigenome, in case for example of cancer or in case of degenerative cognitive disorder or heart disease and so on and this backup can reactivate previous version of the epigenome.

- an increase in revenue generation opportunities on social networking websites

- Christian faith is the fastest growing religious beliefs in the world

- growth and domination of nuclear power generation

- creation of first human like level of general artificial intelligence but that stagnates at human like level of cognition because more advanced levels of cognition can't find product market fit.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#913
1. VR/AR finally become a thing as the tech becomes small enough, powerful enough, and wireless enough to be a good UX. Facebook's investment in Oculus pays off as Oculus becomes their main profit center, and we transition to a Ready Player One reality.

2. The world faces increasingly alarming & extreme weather disasters. The damage will be utterly devastating and start to really hurt economies. Governments will still be inept at managing these crises. People who have the means will move to lower-risk areas like the Pacific Northwest, driving up real estate prices. Those who are poorer will suffer from homelessness. There will be massive encampments like we've never seen before of displaced families.

3. MDMA and psilocybin will be legalized for medical use and will revolutionize mental health care for depression and PTSD. Which is great because we'll all need a lot of mental health care.

4. Trump loses his re-election bid and ultimately flees the country to avoid consequences as the world closes in on him. He loses his US assets but is given safe passage by a foreign power he has had corrupt dealings with.

5. CRISPR is touted as the tech of the decade as it cures a major disease and appears to have incredible potential. At least one nation violates international ethical standards in their experimentation with CRISPR, igniting a debate over whether we have opened a pandora's box. There are protests and our CRISPR anxiety is evident in pop culture.

6. Americans finally catch on to the bidet/washlet craze thanks to an incredibly effective viral ad campaign.

7. Learning Chinese in school becomes more common because China has become the dominant world superpower. India rises to second, and US falls to third.

8. Bitcoin will cost $500k+ per coin, having peaked at 100-150k by 2022 and 500k+ by 2026. There will be a Silicon Valley-esque tv comedy about rich crypto bros that everyone hate-watches.

9. There will be a major pandemic that scares the shit out of everyone because we are woefully unprepared for it.

10. We're all going to become preppers by the end of the decade because there will be so many potential existential threats.

11. Water will become a lot more expensive, driving major innovation around desalinization.

12. Lab meat will have it's first big success a la the Impossible Burger as clean/lab meat tech becomes commercially available. There will be a thriving DIY culture around growing meat at home.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#914
- Treatment will have improved so that it will be rare to die from cancer.

- Self-employment will be more popular than working in large open offices in large corporations.

- Large investments in AI corporations due to inflated beliefs will result in a new bubble in similar scale as the millenium IT bubble or the 2008 financial crisis.

- Immigration debates will create new tensions and will make political correctness come back similar to the reverse sexual-revolution after #metoo. Both auto-adjustments are beneficial for the stability of society.

- It will become popular to learn to play real instruments again. People will be tired of rap music and lack of creativity. It will become more popular to play classical music and jazz.

- Companies will start to offer fridays off for people to work on their personal projects or take time to recover or exercise.

- Countries outside of EU will copy the concept of GDPR to protect their citizens' data.

- Screen addiction (Netflix, Facebook, Twitter, Instagram...) will be considered as a major problem in society and people will be encouraged to socialize, mate, do exercise and play music instead.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#915

This is fun. Here are some of my predictions: By 2030: 1. Google shuts down at least one of Pixel Phones, Gmail, Google Cloud. Even after a decade, Google is not able to make a successful social-network or messaging application. 2. Stock market: Microsoft and Amazon at-least doubles in MarketCap. AMD will be at-least 4 times what it is now. Tesla will be 5 times by the end of the decade. FB stays about the same! 3. F…

Facebook will continue to grow in the next 20 years that's pretty safe bet

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#916
post #666

1. Deep learning will enter its next wave with increased biomimicry end efficiency. Ai will continue to evolve linearly. AGI will still be decades off. 2. Psychidelics will again enter the public sphere and we will see phychidelic therapy in the UK/US. They will also lead the development of a new theory of the mind and consiousness that enter the mainstream. 3. Plant/fungus based food will continue to expand while me…

"12. Joe Rogan will host a presidential debate." Won't be surprised if he ends up securing an official interview with Trump.

This could happen in the next year.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#917
post #132

Here are mine: 1. Still no level 4/5 autonomous cars anywhere in sight. The promise of being "just around the corner" fizzles down and people just forget the hype. 2. Same with AI. The panacea hype dies down. No AGI at all. No major job losses due to AI automation. 3. Facebook (the SN) still exists but ages along with it's current user base. i.e it's the "old people's" SN. Facebook (the company) is still going strong…

> Facebook (the SN) still exists but ages along with it's current user base. i.e it's the "old people's" SN. Facebook (the company) is still going strong, with either Instagram or one of it's acquisitions being the current "hip" SN.

Which year do you live in?

This happened already, so long ago in fact that even Instagram is already on the way out as the mid-30s social network, and TikTok is taking over with it’s real-life softporn focus.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#918
post #752

- Automation replaces the need to have a human workforce. North Korea murders 99% of its population and replaces them with robots. Kim still goes around factories pointing at things. - It becomes possible to literally program humans to do whatever you want them to do. Python is the chosen language but a lack of type safety results in an error that wipes out half of humanity. - We colonize mars but by choosing only th…

This legit sounds like a proposal for a Gundam plot

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#919
post #752

- Automation replaces the need to have a human workforce. North Korea murders 99% of its population and replaces them with robots. Kim still goes around factories pointing at things. - It becomes possible to literally program humans to do whatever you want them to do. Python is the chosen language but a lack of type safety results in an error that wipes out half of humanity. - We colonize mars but by choosing only th…

Mike Judge, Matt Stone, and Trey Parker are jealous of this list.

Mike Judge, Matt Stone, and Trey Parker are furiously taking notes.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#920

- Ads are no longer presented or indicated as such. All advertisement besides public space billboards are paid product placements, advertorials, and sponsored dialogue in TV shows. - The trend toward "authenticity" still ramping up in 2020 hits full swing, and commercial entities follow suit. Any announced commercial speech is viewed with distrust, while meme tweets are celebrated as "real." Corporate messaging becom…

Black Mirror writers: please turn this into an episode.
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