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Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

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Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#901
post #891

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I wouldn’t get too excited for decentralized energy. More energy sources means more power lines all over the place. Few things get NIMBYs worked up like power lines. The social aspect will be harder to solve than the engineering.

Decentralization has never worked in the history of mankind. I don't know why people continue to get hyped up about decentralization topics.

The internet?

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#902
post #529

From a customer perspective, people are wanting to retreat away from a lot of existing, global players. How many people would use something that's basically Amazon/Google/Facebook/Twitter as long as it isn't Amazon/Google/Facebook/Twitter? The last decade was defined by being the one unicorn that could disrupt an entire industry, but those days are gone and we take it for granted that one company dominating a space i…

How do you know that a lot of people want that? I personally see a few people in a few communities with a confirmation bias. I’m not saying that you are wrong, just genuinely asking

I can't quantify it any more than anything else in this thread is quantifyable. However, I see a trend in the problems major platforms are having in that they're failing serve lots of niche communities well, and if we've learned from history, consolidation of business under a generic banner like Walmart breeds a wave of specialized, boutique businesses. Shopify is already doing this somewhat to Amazon, and I believe it's a good bet to say this will happen to other platforms in the next decade.

There's already been conversations here about how to disrupt Google, and you can't do that by trying to be be Google But Better. You do it by picking a subset of Google and being very, very good at it.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#903

Personal vehicles will be getting both bigger and smaller. What's different from the past is that electric motors scale much better than IC engines. Both the world's smallest vehicles (kid's toys) and the largest vehicles (huge mining trucks) are both electric. First the small. Cities will soon start to ban all but electric vehicles in their downtown cores (already happening in some Chinese cities). The primary reaso…

all of this is likely to happen in Europe/China, much less in US where corporations still rule and there are much less federal rules, and almost no chance in most of Africa/MiddleEast/India which have no infrastructure for this.

How is living in an EV RV any different from living in a motor home today? Most people want an actual home/apt not a cramped car with no space, its not the same thing at all.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#904

WLAN sensing. Off the shelf mesh wifi systems are capable of sensing people reliably. This includes qty, position, motion, & gestures. Here is the IEEE spec due for approval in a year or two: https://www.ieee802.org/11/Reports/tgbf_update.htm I have mixed feelings on the tech. The home security implications are amazing, and things like automatic fall detection for the elderly would be a literal lifesaver. Small busin…

I had no idea about this and the implications are truly terrifying and amazing.

Its not just wifi at home the entire world is now a big mesh network. So theoretically it means literally everything everywhere which has wifi coverage can now be tracked with amazing accuracy. Quite possibly the most scary/invasive tech.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#905

I wonder what the future holds for WebAssembly. If it doesn’t really catch on and just ends up being mostly (ab)used for nefarious purposes, I can imagine the major browsers dropping support in a few years. They did with technologies like Flash and Java applets before, and those had had much wider adoption previously. On the other hand, if someone comes up with a good programming language for modern Web-style applica…

> if someone comes up with a good programming language for modern Web-style applications I posit this has already happened and the language is Typescript. I don't see how a different language could meaningfully disrupt TS at this point. I don't actually even see what there is to disrupt, to be honest. TS is great and really productive, and scales to large teams well. What language has the potential to be 10x better t…

TypeScript is better than JavaScript in most situations. JavaScript is all that remained after the plugin-based alternatives were killed off. It’s not that TypeScript is a terrible language, but being a better language is a low bar to clear when you consider that we have 20+ years of extra experience since the early days of JS and a new language also wouldn’t inherit all the baggage.

Things that IMHO have the potential to create a profoundly better language for developing web applications include:

• A more expressive type and effect system

• A more capable module system and better dependency management

• A more comprehensive standard library

• Integral support for building distributed systems and modelling communication within them

Given those kinds of changes and avoiding a lot of the baggage, I think there is also room for a simpler, more systematic, more consistent syntax, which would be good for both human and computer readers. The latter is important because if it’s easily machine-readable then it’s easier to build tools, and building good tools around a programming language is a key factor in growing a large and sustainable ecosystem.

I don’t know what being “10x better than TypeScript” would mean quantitatively, but I find it easy to believe that a language could arrive within say the next 5 years that required less than half the time to develop the same functionality, produced less than half the defects that would need fixing later, and ran several times faster under realistic conditions.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#906
post #699

Deconstruction of discourse: the vast majority of humans out of the decision loop. All the main online sources are moving to subscription models with higher subscriptions for the real information. Only those with money will have access to information that informs decisions. At the low end, information is bundled only for its entertainment or propaganda value. At the same time, decisions are increasingly automated as…

If you're correct, the current intermediate condition where people have removed themselves from the (true) information loop but remain in the decision loop is the scariest state in that decline.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#907

Personal vehicles will be getting both bigger and smaller. What's different from the past is that electric motors scale much better than IC engines. Both the world's smallest vehicles (kid's toys) and the largest vehicles (huge mining trucks) are both electric. First the small. Cities will soon start to ban all but electric vehicles in their downtown cores (already happening in some Chinese cities). The primary reaso…

I think the recent electric scooter boom and subsequent pushback by communities shows that: - There is (IMHO huge ) pent-up demand for last-mile style electric transportation: scooters, bicycles, etc. - The electric drive technology is starting to reach a point where it can support a whole new space of designs that make this sort of transportation appealing to a wide variety of users (i.e. not just fit young adventur…

Electric cargo bikes solve so many problems I don't even know where to begin. Faster than cars in traffic, cheaper, easier to service, extremely flexible in configuration, modular, hackable, healthier, quieter, etc. They can carry a week's worth of grocerys and you don't even need to sweat. I have lost track of all the companies popping up in the last years with new products in the space like urban arrow [1], onomotion [2], babboe [3], carla cargo [4].

[1]: https://na.urbanarrow.com/ [2]: https://onomotion.com/en/ [3]: https://www.babboe.co.uk/ [4]: https://www.carlacargo.de/products/ecarla/

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#909

WLAN sensing. Off the shelf mesh wifi systems are capable of sensing people reliably. This includes qty, position, motion, & gestures. Here is the IEEE spec due for approval in a year or two: https://www.ieee802.org/11/Reports/tgbf_update.htm I have mixed feelings on the tech. The home security implications are amazing, and things like automatic fall detection for the elderly would be a literal lifesaver. Small busin…

Well, this is something I completely did not expect and now I am going down the rabbit hole of how this works...

Thanks!

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#910
post #699

Deconstruction of discourse: the vast majority of humans out of the decision loop. All the main online sources are moving to subscription models with higher subscriptions for the real information. Only those with money will have access to information that informs decisions. At the low end, information is bundled only for its entertainment or propaganda value. At the same time, decisions are increasingly automated as…

This is so bleak. Because it's probably true.
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