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Ask HN: What is not going to change in future?

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Re: Ask HN: What is not going to change in future?

#91
post #82
post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If P = NP, that enumeration process can happen in P time. Keep in mind that all problems in NP have polynomial time verifiers. So you can always check a solution (i.e., checking if the monkey actually wrote Hamlet) in polynomial time. I understand why verifying can happen in time P for each machine, but I'm still confused on how you're sure that you hit on the right machine in P time. For writing Hamlet, you have w…

> I understand why verifying can happen in time P for each machine, but I'm still confused on how you're sure that you hit on the right machine in P time. My monkey stuff was a bit wrong; the enumeration stuff actually goes like this: let every binary string be a Turing machine. So TM 0 is the string 0, TM 1 is the string 1, TM 2 is 10, and so on. Every possible TM machine can be encoded in this way. For half your ti…

I still don't see how you can be confident that the Turing Machine that solves your problem isn't an exponential amount "down" in the list of Turing machines. What if its size is 2^n for problem size n?

Also, more importantly, I still don't see how Universal Search solves what parent actually said, which is that even without knowing the algorithm this will work. The link you added seems to suggest you need to know the actual P algorithm for this to work.

Re: Ask HN: What is not going to change in future?

#92
post #41
post #4

Human nature, and the rate of learning.

I agree without change - but going to postulate a question: Let's say I believe it is my destiny to make sure all humanity evolves to become enlightened and reach the next rung? Let's also say a constraint is I disbelieve in humanity as an entire collective body can reach enlightenment by itself - and therefore must be pulled, due to human base desires. Knowing this, how can I accomplish it? I have theories, but I do…

Get LSD legalized and form a religion around ritualized use of it.

Re: Ask HN: What is not going to change in future?

#93
post #90
post #74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's a funny example. Because prior to around 2007 phones looked very different than they do today. And prior to that, I think it was difficult for people to imagine a phone would fit in your pocket, and more importantly, what that would mean for follow on effects, like instagram or tik tok unless you were being sarcastic.

2014 to 2024 phones have hardly changed. Better performance, bigger screens, but the same concept. There will be changes in 10 years but I think it will look mostly the same.

I already know people who've switched to smartwatches

Re: Ask HN: What is not going to change in future?

#94
post #91
post #82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I understand why verifying can happen in time P for each machine, but I'm still confused on how you're sure that you hit on the right machine in P time. My monkey stuff was a bit wrong; the enumeration stuff actually goes like this: let every binary string be a Turing machine. So TM 0 is the string 0, TM 1 is the string 1, TM 2 is 10, and so on. Every possible TM machine can be encoded in this way. For half your ti…

I still don't see how you can be confident that the Turing Machine that solves your problem isn't an exponential amount "down" in the list of Turing machines. What if its size is 2^n for problem size n? Also, more importantly, I still don't see how Universal Search solves what parent actually said, which is that even without knowing the algorithm this will work. The link you added seems to suggest you need to know th…

It doesn't matter how far down it is. It has some constant index independent of the problem size, so for "large enough" problems, it's just a constant factor on the time required.

Re: Ask HN: What is not going to change in future?

#95
post #92
post #41

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I agree without change - but going to postulate a question: Let's say I believe it is my destiny to make sure all humanity evolves to become enlightened and reach the next rung? Let's also say a constraint is I disbelieve in humanity as an entire collective body can reach enlightenment by itself - and therefore must be pulled, due to human base desires. Knowing this, how can I accomplish it? I have theories, but I do…

Get LSD legalized and form a religion around ritualized use of it.

That is definitely something I hadn't considered ;)

Re: Ask HN: What is not going to change in future?

#98
post #95
post #92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Get LSD legalized and form a religion around ritualized use of it.

That is definitely something I hadn't considered ;)

Spend a few evenings learning about what Timothy Leary and Friends were trying to do.

When I listened to Sasha Shulgin (Discovered many of the known psychedelic substances) speak, he believed that psychedelic substances should be used within the realm of something like a religion or a similar societal traditions.

Re: Ask HN: What is not going to change in future?

#99
post #29
post #14

Math, physics, chemistry won't change. Who knows if software will be nearly recognizable in 10-20 years from now, but the reality of the world will not.

> Math, physics, chemistry won't change. The whole beauty of science is that it doesn't ever claim to have static, absolute answers - it's constantly growing and changing as we learn more about everything. Likewise, the humanities are always growing and changing and being reinterpreted, reflecting what and how we can understand now. > Who knows if software will be nearly recognizable in 10-20 years from now Software…

> forgetting what's come before. Its totem animal is a Nobel laureate goldfish

Goldfish have good memories it turns out: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-oxfordshire-63242200

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