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Ask HN: If Meta dies will React follow?

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Re: Ask HN: If Meta dies will React follow?

#91
post #38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

2.9 billion users https://www.statista.com/statistics/264810/number-of-monthly...

I don’t know where Statista gets their numbers but Meta reported their active users this week at 1.92B. It was a drop from 1.93B which is partially why their stock tanked.

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Re: Ask HN: If Meta dies will React follow?

#92

I belligerently hate Meta, but it's pretty wild to speculate that a company with 1.9 billion users will just up and die. A slow death on the order of 10-20 years may happen but I doubt React will still be popular by that time no matter what happens with Meta.

It will look like the death of Yahoo... It lost relevance very quickly, but was able to survive as an irrelevant zombie company for a long, long time.

This is the lifecycle of all companies.

Re: Ask HN: If Meta dies will React follow?

#94
post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Neither MySpace nor Digg were anywhere near the scale of Meta. At it’s peak MySpace was one or two orders of magnitude smaller than Meta is today. Facebook may wither and die but they also have Instagram, WhatsApp, and Oculus. And for what it’s worth there is almost nothing more I’d like to see than Meta vanishing. I hope you’re right.

> At it’s peak MySpace was one or two orders of magnitude smaller than Meta is today. While this may be true, what % of global internet DAUs did each of them house? I'm not sure if this relevant or not, but it seems the internet was just a much smaller place back then.

>it seems the internet was just a much smaller place back then.

It sure felt a lot bigger than it does now.

Re: Ask HN: If Meta dies will React follow?

#95
post #23

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> A slow death on the order of 10-20 years may happen A sibling comment even said, > Meta's death (if it happened), will be a slow and a long one. Like Oracle or IBM (although IBM is not completely dead). I think death could happen a lot sooner. Rapidly, even. Meta is not B2B, but B2C. They won't have ten year contracts, legacy workloads that they can raise costs on, or new businesses to schmooze over a game of golfi…

Meta technically is mostly B2B, the users are the product. There are probably businesses that have signed ad spend deals with Meta that they can float on. And I'm sure there's ways Meta can/is juicing their ad auction numbers since they control the both ends of it without a lot of transparency.

If the economy has a down cycle ad spend will drop. This might be what really stings.

Re: Ask HN: If Meta dies will React follow?

#96
post #56

Vercel/nextjs.org is a nontrivial company whose business fundamentally depends on supporting the React ecosystem.

They seem to be slowly pivoting to Svelte though. Rich Harris is now working at Vercel. On the last Svelte Summit, Steph Dietz (a Vercel dev rel) literally said "Svelte is the future of web dev".

Hey, Lee from Vercel. We believe in both React and Svelte equally, and personally I'm also extremely excited about SvelteKit. Both React and Svelte can be successful, it's not a zero-sum game :)

Re: Ask HN: If Meta dies will React follow?

#98
post #38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

2.9 billion users https://www.statista.com/statistics/264810/number-of-monthly...

I don’t know where Statista gets their numbers but Meta reported their active users this week at 1.92B. It was a drop from 1.93B which is partially why their stock tanked.

Those were daily active users. (Not that Statista's MAU numbers are correct, but important distinction).
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