Live data from Hacker News

Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

news.ycombinator.com

891–900 of 1001 posts

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#891
post #28

Energy? I feel like it's been talked about a lot but maybe not? Solar panels are dropping in cost at an exponential rate [0]. As of this writing, consumer "new" panels are $0.75/W and used are at around $0.30/W right now (I won't give a link as a Google search will do). Battery technology is also dropping at an exponential rate. I believe, with a little effort, one can purchase batteries at about $0.08/Wh. Taken toge…

I wouldn’t get too excited for decentralized energy. More energy sources means more power lines all over the place. Few things get NIMBYs worked up like power lines. The social aspect will be harder to solve than the engineering.

Decentralization has never worked in the history of mankind. I don't know why people continue to get hyped up about decentralization topics.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#892
post #779

Agricultural revolution. I believe things like food, health and safety will become things not taken for granted anymore. Prices of all of these things will go up and take a major part of the household budgets. I believe one of the first is food, as every nation (rich or poor or sick) will need it and changes in climatic conditions have an impact already today. Next is health industry than defense (this one is scary)…

What's the revolution or solution?

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#893

Tooling for developing real-time collaborative remote working environments is about to take of dramatically. CRDTs [0], while complex to work with untill recently, are now so much easer for developers to use with toolkits such as Yjs[1] and AutoMerge[2]. SAAS and PAAS companies proving tooling around these, enabling developers to easily build collaborative tools for specific niches and verticals are going to explode…

Sync work process is inefficient. 80% of the time I would define work process to be asynchronous e.g. with git branch, pull request, docs, backlogs. This is efficient collaboration. Real-time collaborative tool is a thing but not going to be big. Ideally, I would go 100% async work if possible.

Figma is a pretty good example of real-time collaboration while still maintaining an asynchronous primary workflow.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#894
post #28

Energy? I feel like it's been talked about a lot but maybe not? Solar panels are dropping in cost at an exponential rate [0]. As of this writing, consumer "new" panels are $0.75/W and used are at around $0.30/W right now (I won't give a link as a Google search will do). Battery technology is also dropping at an exponential rate. I believe, with a little effort, one can purchase batteries at about $0.08/Wh. Taken toge…

Panels are dropping but installation costs have not. Now more than have of the cost is installation. The real impact will be with the utility size installations. We need a way to reduce cost for all the other costs outside the panels.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#895
post #29

TIL: Just mix two big trends and see what you can come up with. Like: - Quantum Computing and WFH - Crypto and Micronuclear Power - Metaverse and Biohacking Have fun!

R/C toys and mixed drinks

R/C toys are a trend?!

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#896
post #153

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Something about this cannot be right, surely? You are saying one can invest in a solar setup and have 7+ years of free electricity, and all that starting after 3.5 years?

I would be very suspicious around claims from people trying to sell you solar panels. There are a lot of incentives in the US such as tax credits. This is good but a lot of people in green energy industry include that into calculations, which is fine except its under the assumption that the incentive will persist. Even Tesla shows you "net effective" price of their car by calculating the gas savings (e.g. Model 3 pur…

LED bulbs can last 20 years if they're designed to. Most of what is sold is generally very low quality, with poor heat management, low quality power circuitry and excessive load on the LEDs, which all result in shortened life. It's a shame. Some of the first bulbs I got were good quality and I still have them in frequent use 10+ years later. Many others have been quickly failing junk.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#897
post #129

Climate migration. What happens Europe now/since 2015 is nothing that will come in the next couple of years. And the individual countries and so as the EU is pretty much unprepared. I'd even say that will be one of the cause of downfall of the union.

I am under the impression that instead of preparing for climate immigration, EU citizens are actually slowly but surely mutually brainwashing themselves into increasing hate towards immigrants as a whole. From what I read and understood about climate change, a tsunami of immigrants from southern hemisphere countries towards northern hemisphere countries is to be expected. I would rather have my elected ones work on a…

The EU is quietly building a militarized and draconian border control that matches the US.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#898

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Counterpoint to #1: https://youtube.com/watch?v=Yj-fFgff1fU

I rather think this video supports my point. This is the best we can do and it's so far from a replicant that it's not even funny. Most importantly it's not improving quickly, there's no Moore's law for this. The Hall of Presidents opened in 1971 and I don't think this video demonstrates very much progress for 50 years.

Right now there isn't really a big incentive to develop these things, that might change quickly once humanoid robots become commodities

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#899
post #826

Earlier quoted context omitted.

very unsure if half width vehicles will become a thing, but what's for sure is that micromobility will expand. We will see more electric scooters, ebikes etc. They solve so many traffic and environmental problems in cities.

I wish there was something to make smaller vehicles more palatable. Where I live everyone drives huge vehicles. They need the AWD or 4wd for traction in the winter. They probably don’t need to be F150 size and above for that though. I’m thinking like a weight/size tax on registration.

Many US states have weight/size taxes and fines that are still "on the books" but haven't been enforced in decades. Maybe as gas taxes drop below certain funding goals they will re-evaluate enforcing them.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#900

WLAN sensing. Off the shelf mesh wifi systems are capable of sensing people reliably. This includes qty, position, motion, & gestures. Here is the IEEE spec due for approval in a year or two: https://www.ieee802.org/11/Reports/tgbf_update.htm I have mixed feelings on the tech. The home security implications are amazing, and things like automatic fall detection for the elderly would be a literal lifesaver. Small busin…

> This includes qty, position, motion, & gestures.

Wow. That's terrifying.

Post reply on HN