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Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

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Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#851
MESHCode is a theory about how information might be stored in the brain. Very interesting and potentially has other implications for information storing as well. Check "The Mechanical Basis of Memory – the MeshCODE Theory": https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnmol.2021.5929...

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#852

Türkiye is becoming the China of Europe in terms of manufacturing.

Could you introduce some examples, like ODMs?

I don't know if this is representative of the bigger picture. But I recently talked to a Hungarian ultrasound gel factory owner. He complained about Turkish companies stealing his business.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#853

Personal vehicles will be getting both bigger and smaller. What's different from the past is that electric motors scale much better than IC engines. Both the world's smallest vehicles (kid's toys) and the largest vehicles (huge mining trucks) are both electric. First the small. Cities will soon start to ban all but electric vehicles in their downtown cores (already happening in some Chinese cities). The primary reaso…

“Halving” vehicles has been possible for long time, also seen it mentioned numerous times over the years. Unless large & small vehicles never use the same roads, ever, it will never happen; imagine being in a small car and being hit by a large car, odd of person in small car dying are much higher. Basically, something like this will only have a chance in an authoritarian society. As for the RV, you still need parking…

> Basically, something like this will only have a chance in an authoritarian society.

In fact, you already have no right to drive whatever kind of vehicle you want on public roads. There's no part of daily life that's more regulated. And there's no interesting argument about freedom to be had here. We build the roads as a society, so we have every reason to make rules about what kinds of vehicles are allowed on those roads.

Today, we allow an absurd range of plainly unsafe vehicles on our roads, but I think the status quo is untenable. As technology makes the cars safer it's going to be harder and harder to justify allowing giant vehicles piloted entirely at the discretion of flawed humans. In a world where the car knows you're asking it to speed up into a crosswalk full of children and can prevent you from doing it, it's basically absurd to insist that the car should instead respond only to the driver's whims. What I'm trying to say is that size is just one aspect of this. We need to entirely rethink what we're allowing on public roads.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#854

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Half width vehicles ignores the following issues. - Busses. How do you make them half width? (or perhaps, uncharitably, do you think public transportation is worthless?). If busses stay the same width how do you write the driving regulations for mixed width vehicles and retrain the driving public so that fatalities do not skyrocket. - Bulk delivery vehicles. Same as above. - Half width means less vehicle stability at…

very unsure if half width vehicles will become a thing, but what's for sure is that micromobility will expand. We will see more electric scooters, ebikes etc. They solve so many traffic and environmental problems in cities.

I really wanted to get an electric motorcycle, but the current market leader charges $20k for something that can get to highway speeds and go 70-80 miles on a charge. I'll have to stick to my $9k ICE motorcycle for now, unfortunately.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#855

Personal vehicles will be getting both bigger and smaller. What's different from the past is that electric motors scale much better than IC engines. Both the world's smallest vehicles (kid's toys) and the largest vehicles (huge mining trucks) are both electric. First the small. Cities will soon start to ban all but electric vehicles in their downtown cores (already happening in some Chinese cities). The primary reaso…

> The next phase will be only EV's that are half the width of a normal car lane will be allowed in the downtown core.

i don't think anyone's going to bother

i think we'll just all do what paris did and kick them out, rather than to try to create a whole new batch of differently-sized ones

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#856
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's a good question, and as a layman I don't have the answer. However, since it's able to model experiments in the Large Hadron Collider, I would assume that it makes predictions about the positions and velocities of high energy particles. In any case, Dr. Hoffman's theories are mathematically rigorous. I think it's worth listening to the podcast before dismissing.

> In any case, Dr. Hoffman's theories are mathematically rigorous. I think it's worth listening to the podcast before dismissing. I can't really comment on that as 1) I only skimmed a couple sections of the paper and 2) my field is more applied math than pure. I'm not attacking or dismissing anything, just asking how the claims made are substantiated. > However, since it's able to model experiments in the Large Hadro…

> There are a lot of neat theories which model experimental work we already have results for, the problem is using said theories to make falsifiable predictions which are both realistic in terms of actually finding a way to do experimental verification and are different from predictions made by the standard model.

Ideally yes. But if you have two theories which make the same predictions, and one requires orders of magnitude fewer parameters than the other, then the former is, if nothing else, a valuable new perspective.

The analogy that comes to mind is the elaborate system of epicycles in the geocentric model of the solar system. These were quite accurate -- even more accurate than the first heliocentric model (if I recall correctly). But the heliocentric model was far simpler in that it required fewer parameters (and as we know it turned out to be the correct one).

It's still early days for the cosmological polytope. It's right to be skeptical, but the greatest scientific advances are usually considered ludicrous at first by the broader community. It's those who allow for the possibility that the new theory may be correct that will design and carry out experiments to provide evidence either way.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#857
post #532

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Really? To me it seems to show up in every discussion about the general economy these days.

The FED printing money? All I hear is everyone blaming everything/everyone but the FED as far as inflation goes.

Yes, the Fed printing money. Memes from the younger, paragraphs from the older. More rarely mentioned by the credentialed, but so ubiquitously brought up by the commentariat that I just can't buy this as "few people are talking about."

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#858
post #846

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've been thinking about this a lot with the current congressional action. I need a new roof ~now. But I have a lingering fear that huge product improvement will happen in the next 18 months due to added government money. I don't know enough about the industry to weight in that possibility.

I'd absolutely do it now. The price of solar has been beneath that of racks, mounts, wiring and installation for a while now. Even assuming a major breakthrough your costs probably wont change that much because panel cost isnt a big % of what your costs will be anyway. There's also a risk that supply chain bottlenecks/cold war with china will drive up the cost & your electric bill is only gonna go up.

Agreed, do it now. The cost of panels in Australia is already going up due to supply issues thanks to covid, and I don't think you'll see prices come down again for a few years even with that investment.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#859

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have been living fully off solar (and some wind here and there) for 10 years. Its amazing. Never do I stress powerlines going down, brownouts, etc. You can run a fridge, lights and a laptop 24.7 on about $300 of solar. You can add panels as your needs and budget increases. The biggest cost is the battery.

Do you have a writeup of your setup? Do you use lead acid for your batteries? Besides the money issue, the biggest concern I have are balancing the batteries, getting the right inverters, keeping the panels clear and figuring out what inefficiencies are during the non-summer seasons.

I'd check out Lithium Solar on youtube - he's got a fairly comprehensive set of videos on almost every topic regarding batteries, inverters and general setup.

Re: Ask HN: What's the next big thing that few people are talking about?

#860

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What do you think about food replacements like US Soylent or EU JimmyJoy? It looks to me like a big deal, but I don’t see much enthusiasm from other people and these products have been around for a while.

Just test these for a week or two. I found the taste and texture intolerable after two days

I think it's a matter of experimentation. I've been having Aussielent (Australian version of Soylent) for about 5 years for breakfast and still really enjoy it. I use the vanilla flavour, make it with hot water, and put a squirt of honey in it - it's like liquid porridge.
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