Hacker News Board Hacker News, browsed like a classic message board
Live data from Hacker News

Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

news.ycombinator.com

Post reply on HN
Print view View original

821–830 of 1001 posts

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#821

Post by buboard »

sequoia wrote: post #819
termy wrote: post #666

1. Deep learning will enter its next wave with increased biomimicry end efficiency. Ai will continue to evolve linearly. AGI will still be decades off. 2. Psychidelics will again enter the public sphere and we will see phychidelic therapy in the UK/US. They will also lead the development of a new theory of the mind and consiousness that enter the mainstream. 3. Plant/fungus based food will continue to expand while me…

> 4. Ai in healthcare will allow for decentralised expertise. The role and power of nurses will expand. Can you expand on this?

not op, but i think nurses will be able to subsitute doctors in many cases where the diagnosis comes from a fully-automated AI system. E.g. a CT scanner or blood test that prints out full diagnosis, prescription and procedure etc at the press of a button.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#822

Post by buboard »

dynamite-ready wrote: post #678
termy wrote: post #666

1. Deep learning will enter its next wave with increased biomimicry end efficiency. Ai will continue to evolve linearly. AGI will still be decades off. 2. Psychidelics will again enter the public sphere and we will see phychidelic therapy in the UK/US. They will also lead the development of a new theory of the mind and consiousness that enter the mainstream. 3. Plant/fungus based food will continue to expand while me…

"12. Joe Rogan will host a presidential debate." Won't be surprised if he ends up securing an official interview with Trump.

or a presidential candidacy

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#823

Post by scanr »

buboard wrote: post #820
scanr wrote: post #752

- Automation replaces the need to have a human workforce. North Korea murders 99% of its population and replaces them with robots. Kim still goes around factories pointing at things. - It becomes possible to literally program humans to do whatever you want them to do. Python is the chosen language but a lack of type safety results in an error that wipes out half of humanity. - We colonize mars but by choosing only th…

well that sounds reasonable. where should i invest my money?

I have a plot of land in the soon to be Garden Kingdom of Siberia to sell...

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#824

Post by iandanforth »

Next Decade

1. Reinforcement learning starts working. Though the techniques required to make it work stretch today's definition of RL.

2. Mobile robotics in warehouses and big-box retail matures and reaches a tipping point where for some it is now boring and the majority of the industry has a roll-out plan.

"The future cannot be predicted, but futures can be invented," so I'll stop there.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#825

Post by jlangemeier »

im3w1l wrote: post #194

In the spirit of the future is here just not evenly distributed: 1. Electric cars will go from niche for the rich to something for everyone. 2. Genetic testing will become even more commonplace and even more useful. 3. ipv6 will become dominant, but there may be holdouts. 4. Freezing your sperm / eggs / stem cells will become something everyone does. 5. Using a non-memory-safe language for servers will be seen as bui…

I'm really interested in what's considered "a bit behind the curve" as I'm pretty skeptical that slow monoliths like traditional banking, education, healthcare, and hard engineering (civil, electrical, mechanical, etc) spaces will move towards containerization ever.

If we're looking at laggards in the software delivery space around small to midsized, bootstrapped companies I would agree; but in general the spaces where serverless or containerization make sense are already doing it or are moving in that direction.

Unless you count IoT devises as a 'container' approach to hardware/firmware, then I guess some hard engineering spaces may adopt a version of it.

#2 in less certain predictions is just odd; but if it happens it would also lead to a destabilization of the housing market, essentially through attempts at price fixing on land value.

#4 in less certain predictions just seems like self-agrandizing drivel... "The smart people will leave major SNs, but most people are dumb; I'm not dumb because I am are predicting this." Reminds me of the old cartoon "I am Weasel."

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#827

Post by Balgair »

1. A Nuke will go off in anger

2. Most African countries will not default on their debt to China, but will restructure it as they gain independence and strength.

3. Somalia finally splits up formally.

4. US restructures it's social security system as outflows increase. No medicare for all.

5. Someone finally invents a cheap, small, and good-enough memristor, changing a lot of basics in computer EE.

6. The Raiders move to LV and then back to Oakland

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#828

Post by jdlyga »

Remote work will continue to rise in popularity. Many large companies already have policies of every meeting having a video conference link. And there's pressure for people to move out of high cost of living areas like San Francisco and New York City.

Online degrees will explode in popularity much like cord cutting did in the past decade. With Georgia Tech's OMSCS becoming a huge success, many other institutions will create similar programs beginning with STEM degrees, expanding into more graduate programs and even undergrad. As an alternative to ultra-high tuition costs, more and more students will choose this route instead of traditional college. As a result, kids will stay at home with their parents increasingly longer.

The United States and China will relax their tourist visa policies, and will allow for up to 90 day stays without a visa.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions?

#830

Post by turc1656 »

scanr wrote: post #752

- Automation replaces the need to have a human workforce. North Korea murders 99% of its population and replaces them with robots. Kim still goes around factories pointing at things. - It becomes possible to literally program humans to do whatever you want them to do. Python is the chosen language but a lack of type safety results in an error that wipes out half of humanity. - We colonize mars but by choosing only th…

Mike Judge, Matt Stone, and Trey Parker are jealous of this list.
Post reply on HN