Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023? • Hacker News Board

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#811

Post by plasticsoprano » Sun, Jan 01, 2023, 10:30 PM UTC

Nicholas_C wrote: post #404

testplzignore wrote: post #280

Going with some completely random things this year so that I look like a time traveler. - Magnitude 8 earthquake in British Columbia in November. - Major world leader dies in plane crash in France in March. Part of an attempted coup. - JWST breaks. - Lebron misses 64 games due to a right leg injury. - TCU wins the CFP. - Shipping is blocked for 2 weeks on the Mississippi River near Memphis. - Coinbase collapses. Cryp…

> - TCU wins the CFP. Most unlikely thing on here.

Still feeling that way after last night? Might be the only thing he gets right.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#812

Post by fnands » Mon, Jan 02, 2023, 8:30 AM UTC

ttyprintk wrote: post #805

fnands wrote: post #802

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> 1. We will learn that one or more traditional banks have taken on cryptocurrency exposure and will need to be bailed out to prevent another financial crisis. Don't know if this will pan out, but if it does it will probably be Deutsche Bank right?

Credit Suisse

Also a strong contender. Likely the DB/CS double whammy

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#813

Post by kulahan » Mon, Jan 02, 2023, 11:54 PM UTC

testplzignore wrote: post #280

Going with some completely random things this year so that I look like a time traveler. - Magnitude 8 earthquake in British Columbia in November. - Major world leader dies in plane crash in France in March. Part of an attempted coup. - JWST breaks. - Lebron misses 64 games due to a right leg injury. - TCU wins the CFP. - Shipping is blocked for 2 weeks on the Mississippi River near Memphis. - Coinbase collapses. Cryp…

- JWST breaks

HOW DARE YOU

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#814

Post by readerbaza » Tue, Jan 03, 2023, 9:50 PM UTC

Macha wrote: post #688

SyzygistSix wrote: post #376

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So far the exact opposite is happening, although you are correct that being the top selling car in the US won't happen, just the world as a whole. It's a pretty easy prediction, as even if it is wrong it will still barely trail Toyota for the top selling spot, barring some significant disruption and reversal.

They come #1 in Norway and their next best showing is #3 in China, but plenty of large markets where they're way down the list (e.g. #49 in Spain, #40 in germany did not make rankings in Italy, Brazil, India). https://www.drive.com.au/news/the-best-selling-cars-around-t...

Italy historical top 3 is always cheap city cars. Usually Fiat Panda which costs ~15k€ nowadays (used to be much less).

A 50K€ base model car as top 1 is a pipe dream. It'll happen when people can't buy cars anymore and all remains is the rich and robotaxis.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#815

Post by MarcsPoshyCross » Wed, Jan 04, 2023, 10:40 AM UTC

marginalia_nu wrote: post #178

Mysterise wrote: post #77

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> which has been reconstructed by several studies (by reputable institutions I should add) Sources would be helpful.

(I'm not the person you replied to and talking in general) Most likely they wouldn't. You can find sources to back up almost any claim. Without the context they're not actually all that useful.

The proof is in the results. When it'll be obvious climate change "action" (taxes) don't change anything the focus will switch to something like Inbound Asteroid Protection or similar.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?

#816

Post by aydin4ik » Sat, Jan 07, 2023, 4:23 PM UTC

- Everybody will go about their days. Things will happen in the world that will be big to talk about with your colleagues/friends/family, but small in impact to your daily life. - About once every two weeks there will be news that will make you worry about your finances. - About once in three months same will happen about your privacy. - For the rest of the time, you will be busy with your daily grind and then it is Xmas 2023.